Wizards vs. Cavaliers

ActiveSports484 linesEnds Oct 28, 2026

To win: Cavaliers 80.5%, Wizards 19.5%.

24h volume: $2.4M
Total volume: $2.3M
Whales: 27
Fresh wallets: 0

Source: Polymarket ↗

Wizards 19.5%Cavaliers 80.5%Wizards −23.0pp 1W

Moneyline

1 line · $1.5M vol

Wizards$1.5M vol19.5%−3.0

Cavaliers$1.5M vol80.5%+3.0

Spread

34 lines · $575.2K vol

Cavaliers -9.5$332.6K vol17.0%−33.0

Cavaliers -8.5$76.7K vol31.5%−21.0

Cavaliers -10.5$48.7K vol14.5%−32.0

Cavaliers -12.5$26.6K vol6.5%−33.5

Total

25 lines · $262.2K vol

Over 240.5$133.8K vol34.0%−11.5

Over 238.5$77.3K vol32.5%−18.0

Over 256.5$9.1K vol8.5%−13.5

Over 252.5$8.7K vol8.5%−14.5

Kyshawn George

25 lines · $7.0K vol

Points over 14.5$4.2K vol10.5%-

Rebounds over 1.5No trades yet78.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet50.0%-

Steals over 0.5No trades yet50.0%-

Tre Johnson

9 lines · $1.3K vol

Points over 9.5$577 vol17.9%-

3-Pointers Made over 1.5$325 vol19.5%-

Donovan Mitchell

32 lines · $1.2K vol

Points over 24.5$821 vol14.5%-

Rebounds over 4.5$207 vol50.0%-

Assists over 7.5No trades yet23.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-

Trae Young

28 lines · $1.0K vol

Points over 19.5$150 vol22.5%-

Rebounds over 5.5No trades yet39.0%-

Assists over 9.5$452 vol18.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet50.5%-

Evan Mobley

27 lines · $891 vol

Points over 24.5No trades yet24.0%-

Rebounds over 11.5No trades yet43.0%-

Assists over 3.5No trades yet11.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet50.0%-

AJ Dybantsa

18 lines · $484 vol

Points over 19.5$460 vol48.0%-

Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet27.5%-

Assists over 3.5No trades yet11.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet50.5%-

Anthony Davis

31 lines · $323 vol

Points over 19.5$142 vol16.0%-

Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet50.5%-

Assists over 3.5No trades yet50.0%-

3-Pointers Made over 1.5No trades yet50.0%-

James Harden

29 lines · $292 vol

Points over 14.5$141 vol66.5%-

Rebounds over 4.5$37 vol50.0%-

Assists over 7.5$52 vol49.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 2.5$31 vol50.0%-

Sam Merrill

13 lines · $112 vol

Points over 9.5$112 vol42.0%-

Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet49.5%-

3-Pointers Made over 0.5No trades yet50.0%-

Jarrett Allen

19 lines · $106 vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet63.5%-

Rebounds over 11.5No trades yet40.5%-

Blocks over 0.5No trades yet50.5%-

1st half

37 lines · $6.8K vol

Spread: Cavaliers -5.5$2.3K vol · resolved0.0%-

Total: Over 137.5$1.2K vol · resolved0.0%-

Total: Over 125.5$637 vol · resolved100.0%-

Total: Over 121.5$537 vol · resolved100.0%-

1st quarter

14 lines

Spread: Cavaliers -7.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -5.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -3.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -1.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

2nd quarter

9 lines

Spread: Cavaliers -2.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Wizards -1.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -4.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -6.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

3rd quarter

13 lines

Spread: Cavaliers -2.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Wizards -1.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Wizards -3.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

4th quarter

7 lines

Spread: Cavaliers -1.5No trades yet50.0%-

Spread: Wizards -2.5No trades yet50.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -3.5No trades yet50.0%-

Spread: Cavaliers -5.5No trades yet50.0%-

Click a line to chart it. Spreads and totals list the busiest lines first; decided and untraded lines sit at the bottom. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@Malfunction.Whale5h ago

$18,005 buying Under on Over 240.5

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 18,023
Profit if right: $18

@zxc368Whale5h ago

$51,037 buying Under on Over 240.5

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 51,088
Profit if right: $51

@BIAVNWhale5h ago

$17,943 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 17,961
Profit if right: $18

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale5h ago

$17,119 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.73
Shares: 23,450
Profit if right: $6,332

@NooseracWhale5h ago

$19,750 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.79
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $5,250

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale6h ago

$9,176 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.37
Shares: 24,800
Profit if right: $15,624

@3648393489047Whale6h ago

$17,440 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 27,682
Profit if right: $10,242

0x3dfb…abafWhale6h ago

$7,598 buying Under on Over 240.5

Bought at: $0.42
Shares: 18,090
Profit if right: $10,492

0x2c33…0563Whale6h ago

$10,492 buying Over on Over 240.5

Bought at: $0.58
Shares: 18,090
Profit if right: $7,598

@AckbarWhale6h ago

$5,400 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.54
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $4,600

@NooseracWhale6h ago

$7,473 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.57
Shares: 13,110
Profit if right: $5,637

@NS13Whale6h ago

$6,987 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.55
Shares: 12,704
Profit if right: $5,717

@aibabyWhale7h ago

$6,175 buying Wizards on Cavaliers -12.5

Bought at: $0.71
Shares: 8,697
Profit if right: $2,522

@aibabyWhale7h ago

$29,798 buying Wizards on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 47,298
Profit if right: $17,500

0x2c33…0563Whale7h ago

$17,500 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.37
Shares: 47,298
Profit if right: $29,798

@KaneAnalyticsWhale7h ago

$8,106 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.26
Shares: 31,175
Profit if right: $23,070

@ferrariChampions2026Whale7h ago

$14,046 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.74
Shares: 18,980
Profit if right: $4,935

@Anon455Whale7h ago

$7,400 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.74
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $2,600

@NooseracWhale7h ago

$6,000 buying Wizards on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.54
Shares: 11,111
Profit if right: $5,111

@mooseborzoiiWhale7h ago

$21,963 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.74
Shares: 29,837
Profit if right: $7,874

@Anon455Whale7h ago

$5,300 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.27
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $14,700

@mooseborzoiiWhale7h ago

$12,596 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 16,795
Profit if right: $4,199

@NooseracWhale7h ago

$11,111 buying Wizards on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 22,222
Profit if right: $11,111

@mooseborzoiiWhale7h ago

$11,111 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 22,222
Profit if right: $11,111

@NooseracWhale7h ago

$22,194 buying Over on Over 240.5

Bought at: $0.48
Shares: 46,237
Profit if right: $24,043

0x3dfb…abafWhale7h ago

$24,043 buying Under on Over 240.5

Bought at: $0.52
Shares: 46,237
Profit if right: $22,194

@googleplayWhale7h ago

$59,189 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 76,799
Profit if right: $17,610

@BreakTheBankWhale7h ago

$102,092 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.22
Shares: 464,055
Profit if right: $361,963

@jakepaulthegoat2008Whale7h ago

$11,102 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.23
Shares: 48,268
Profit if right: $37,166

@jakepaulthegoat2008Whale7h ago

$11,000 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.22
Shares: 50,000
Profit if right: $39,000

@googleplayWhale7h ago

$439,296 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.78
Shares: 563,200
Profit if right: $123,904

@AppleTiiimeWhale9h ago

$5,000 buying Over on Over 240.5

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $5,000

@ic4creamWhale9h ago

$22,449 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 29,155
Profit if right: $6,706

@jakepaulthegoat2008Whale9h ago

$6,706 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.23
Shares: 29,155
Profit if right: $22,449

@DitieForlanWhale10h ago

$6,090 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.24
Shares: 25,374
Profit if right: $19,284

@mooseborzoiiWhale10h ago

$11,324 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.76
Shares: 14,900
Profit if right: $3,576

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale12h ago

$6,944 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 13,888
Profit if right: $6,944

@chongchong37Whale12h ago

$7,005 buying Wizards on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 14,009
Profit if right: $7,005

@xasdasdas21Whale12h ago

$15,960 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.76
Shares: 21,000
Profit if right: $5,040

@HomeRunHazardWhale13h ago

$10,137 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.76
Shares: 13,338
Profit if right: $3,201

@jakepaulthegoat2008Whale13h ago

$7,200 buying Wizards

Bought at: $0.24
Shares: 30,000
Profit if right: $22,800

0xb4f9…c9a7Whale13h ago

$9,400 buying Over on Over 238.5

Bought at: $0.53
Shares: 17,736
Profit if right: $8,336

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale15h ago

$9,666 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.52
Shares: 18,589
Profit if right: $8,923

@ferrariChampions2026Whale15h ago

$8,962 buying Wizards on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.49
Shares: 18,290
Profit if right: $9,328

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale15h ago

$9,269 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.51
Shares: 18,175
Profit if right: $8,906

@mooseborzoiiWhale15h ago

$5,868 buying Cavaliers

Bought at: $0.78
Shares: 7,523
Profit if right: $1,655

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale16h ago

$5,348 buying Cavaliers on Cavaliers -9.5

Bought at: $0.52
Shares: 10,284
Profit if right: $4,937

@ArielFilipinoWhale16h ago

$5,935 buying Wizards on Cavaliers -10.5

Bought at: $0.54
Shares: 11,001
Profit if right: $5,066

Market read

Who is favoured in Wizards vs Cavaliers?

Polymarket makes the Cavaliers 81% favourites to beat the Wizards on Oct 28. The Wizards' chance has fallen from 23% on Oct 22 to 0% now.

Where is the whale money going?

Our tracker has logged 48 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 27 wallets since Oct 28, $1.2M in all. The most whale money went to the Cavaliers: $699.5K, 60% of the total. The largest single bet was $439.3K on the Cavaliers at 78¢ by @googleplay on Oct 28. $2.3M has been traded in total, $2.4M of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution rules from Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 7:00PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.

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Wizards vs. Cavaliers

Moneyline

Spread

Total

Kyshawn George

Tre Johnson

Donovan Mitchell

Trae Young

Evan Mobley

AJ Dybantsa

Anthony Davis

James Harden

Sam Merrill

Jarrett Allen

Peyton Watson

Bilal Coulibaly

Jaylon Tyson

1st half

1st quarter

2nd quarter

3rd quarter

4th quarter

Wizards

Wizards · 1st half

Wizards · 2nd half

Cavaliers

Cavaliers · 1st half

Cavaliers · 2nd half

Specials

Market read

Who is favoured in Wizards vs Cavaliers?

Where is the whale money going?

How does this market resolve?

More Sports markets

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