Number of North Korea Missile Tests in November 2026?
4+ leads at 58.0%, ahead of 2 (16.5%) and 3 (15.5%).
- 24h volume
- $4.0K
- Total volume
- $11.4K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the Number of North Korea Missile Tests in November 2026 market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give 4+ a 58% chance, ahead of 2 at 17% and 3 at 16%. 5 outcomes are listed. 4+ has held near 50% since Oct 29. Over the last 24 hours it is up 21 points.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $11.4K has been traded in total, $4.0K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 1, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which North Korea (DPRK) conducts a missile launch during November 2026, Pyongyang Time.
If a single test event spans multiple calendar days, it will count only for the day on which it began.
Only test launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify.
Test launches of other systems, including surface-to-air missiles (SAMs), multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS)/rocket artillery, torpedoes, or similar systems, will not qualify.
Resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.