Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027 leads at 70.5%, ahead of June 30, 2027 (53.0%) and February 28, 2027 (33.5%).
- 24h volume
- $5.1K
- Total volume
- $1.7M
- Whales
- 1
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by... market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give December 31, 2027 a 71% chance, ahead of June 30, 2027 at 53% and February 28, 2027 at 34%. 7 outcomes are listed, 2 of them already resolved. December 31, 2027 has risen from 68% on Oct 29 to 71% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 4.0 points.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 1 whale bet ($5,000 or more) on this market from 1 wallet since Oct 21, $5.7K in all. All of it went to Yes on June 30, 2027. The largest single bet was $5.7K on Yes on June 30, 2027 at 59¢ by @Stonktrader on Oct 21. $1.7M has been traded in total, $5.1K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2028.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.