What are the current odds for "Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?"?

YES is currently trading at 17.5% on Polymarket. NO is at 82.5%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Jan 1, 2028.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $1.17M. Last 24h: $3.1K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $9.4K by schizohedgehog entered at 97%. 1 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

← All Markets

ActiveTeslaResolves Jan 1, 2028

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or Space…

YES

17.5%

82.5%

Volume

$1.17M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

1 tracked

1
@schizohedgehog
No@ 96.9%·5d ago
$9.4K
9,678 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@jiangyp03
Yes@ 33.0%·9h ago
$6
@50testreward
Yes@ 33.0%·9h ago
$7
@prjjfb34
No@ 82.0%·11h ago
$26
Automatic-Lobster
No@ 82.6%·11h ago
$69
@prjjfb34
Yes@ 16.0%·15h ago
$5
@shgrkybo8
Yes@ 16.2%·15h ago
$37
@sweetj
Yes@ 17.0%·15h ago
$79
@cybermaxs
No@ 66.0%·16h ago
$2
@sweetj
Yes@ 17.0%·17h ago
$6
@kittycat67
Yes@ 17.0%·18h ago
$5
@COOLBOY
No@ 97.4%·19h ago
$39
@WarriorH
Yes@ 34.0%·19h ago
$22
@HosoTrader
Yes@ 33.0%·19h ago
$7
@rockscorpio
Yes@ 34.0%·19h ago
$10
@Elementarius
Yes@ 34.0%·19h ago
$20
@prjjfb34
No@ 60.0%·20h ago
$19
@sdfsdfsdfsdf2
No@ 63.0%·20h ago
$212
@sdfsdfsdfsdf2
No@ 62.0%·20h ago
$34
@rubby1337
Yes@ 38.0%·20h ago
$8
@monoclith
Yes@ 36.0%·20h ago
$18
@sdfsdfsdfsdf2
No@ 60.0%·20h ago
$36
@prjjfb34
Yes@ 35.0%·20h ago
$7
@eatMaker
Yes@ 35.0%·20h ago
$7
@DerDon
No@ 60.3%·20h ago
$784
@joakja2008
Yes@ 17.0%·20h ago
$4

About this market

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Tesla category, resolving on Jan 1, 2028. Current odds put YES at 17.5% and NO at 82.5%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 1 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $9.4K on a total market volume of $1.17M. Last 24-hour volume: $3.1K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →