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Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

ActiveMidterms10 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Paxton 0-3% leads at 30.5%, ahead of Talarico 0-3% (30.5%) and Talarico 3-6% (23.5%).

24h volume: $342
Total volume: $31.9K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 10Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Paxton 0-3%$5.0K vol30.5%-Buy Yes 30.5¢Buy No 69.5¢

Talarico 0-3%$6.0K vol30.5%+0.5Buy Yes 30.5¢Buy No 69.5¢

Talarico 3-6%$5.6K vol23.5%-Buy Yes 23.5¢Buy No 76.5¢

Paxton 3-6%$6.2K vol5.9%−0.1Buy Yes 5.9¢Buy No 94.1¢

Talarico 12%+$1.6K vol4.7%−0.7Buy Yes 4.7¢Buy No 95.3¢

Talarico 6-9%$2.5K vol4.6%−0.1Buy Yes 4.6¢Buy No 95.4¢

Talarico 9-12%$1.2K vol4.0%−1.2Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢

Paxton 6-9%$2.2K vol3.1%−1.6Buy Yes 3.1¢Buy No 96.9¢

Paxton 9-12%$802 vol2.1%−0.4Buy Yes 2.1¢Buy No 97.8¢

Paxton 12%+$805 vol1.1%−0.7Buy Yes 1.1¢Buy No 99.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.