UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)

ClosedSports19 outcomesEnds Oct 25, 2026

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $853.5K
Whales: 12
Fresh wallets: 0

Source: Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 19Chance24h

Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev$836.3K vol · resolved100.0%+49.5

Fight to Go the Distance?$7.6K vol · resolved100.0%+36.4

O/U 0.5 Rounds$56 vol · resolved100.0%+25.9

O/U 1.5 Rounds · resolved100.0%+24.9

O/U 2.5 Rounds$2.3K vol · resolved100.0%+33.5

Fight won by decision? · resolved100.0%+38.5

Decision or Draw$546 vol · resolved100.0%+38.0

Fight won by KO/TKO?$5.5K vol · resolved0.0%−21.4

Dawson to win by KO/TKO?$166 vol · resolved0.0%−26.5

Aliev to win by KO/TKO?$53 vol · resolved0.0%−29.9

Fight won by submission?$253 vol · resolved0.0%−28.4

Ends before Round 2?$250 vol · resolved0.0%−14.9

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsClosed

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@S-WorksWhale2d ago

$88,193 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.49
Shares: 179,986
Profit if right: $91,793

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$92,552 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.51
Shares: 181,474
Profit if right: $88,922

@PollyPepperoniWhale2d ago

$5,000 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $5,000

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$5,005 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 10,010
Profit if right: $5,005

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$11,894 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 23,787
Profit if right: $11,894

@matanovikWhale2d ago

$11,120 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 22,240
Profit if right: $11,120

@matanovikWhale2d ago

$8,800 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 17,600
Profit if right: $8,800

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$11,228 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 22,455
Profit if right: $11,228

@NooseracWhale2d ago

$5,000 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $5,000

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$12,594 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 25,187
Profit if right: $12,594

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$14,439 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 28,878
Profit if right: $14,439

0xdd9d…b730Whale2d ago

$7,538 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 15,076
Profit if right: $7,538

@esportsbetter1Whale2d ago

$5,000 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $5,000

@NooseracWhale2d ago

$5,000 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $5,000

@suzmieWhale2d ago

$5,175 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 10,350
Profit if right: $5,175

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$5,175 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 10,350
Profit if right: $5,175

@NeverLoseBetWhale2d ago

$8,073 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 16,146
Profit if right: $8,073

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$8,073 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 16,146
Profit if right: $8,073

@PollyPepperoniWhale2d ago

$20,000 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 40,000
Profit if right: $20,000

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$20,000 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 40,000
Profit if right: $20,000

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$10,000 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $10,000

@NooseracWhale2d ago

$10,000 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $10,000

@flexfitWhale3d ago

$5,000 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $5,000

@FeedTheBigBirdWhale3d ago

$14,074 buying Nurullo Aliev on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.49
Shares: 28,723
Profit if right: $14,649

@mooseborzoiiWhale3d ago

$8,077 buying Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev

Bought at: $0.51
Shares: 15,837
Profit if right: $7,760

Market read

What are the odds on "UFC 333: Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev (Lightweight, Prelims)"?

No outcome is trading right now.

Where is the whale money going?

Our tracker has logged 25 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 12 wallets since Oct 23, $397.0K in all. The most whale money went to Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev: $204.0K, 51% of the total. The largest single bet was $92.6K on Grant Dawson on Grant Dawson vs. Nurullo Aliev at 51¢ by @Sassy-Bucket on Oct 24. $853.5K has been traded in total.

How does this market resolve?

The market closed on Oct 25, 2026.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Nurullo Aliev at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

It will resolve to "Nurullo Aliev" if Nurullo Aliev is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.

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