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What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?

ActiveFed20 outcomesEnds Oct 28, 2026

Good Day leads at 93.5%, ahead of Good Question (82.5%) and Pressure / Stagflation (77.5%).

24h volume: $673
Total volume: $1.9K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 20Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

1Good Day93.5%−1.0Buy Yes 93.5¢Buy No 6.5¢

2Good Question$17 vol82.5%−10.0Buy Yes 82.5¢Buy No 17.5¢

3Pressure / Stagflation77.5%−2.5Buy Yes 77.5¢Buy No 22.5¢

4CapEx / Capital Expenditure$50 vol74.0%−0.5Buy Yes 74.0¢Buy No 26.0¢

5Oil / Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas$50 vol73.0%−9.5Buy Yes 73.0¢Buy No 27.0¢

6President / Trump69.5%−6.0Buy Yes 69.5¢Buy No 30.5¢

7Conflict / Middle East$413 vol67.5%+1.5Buy Yes 67.5¢Buy No 32.5¢

8Price 30+ times$112 vol66.0%+2.5Buy Yes 66.0¢Buy No 34.0¢

9AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times$163 vol48.5%+4.5Buy Yes 48.5¢Buy No 51.5¢

10Inflation 20+ times$35 vol46.5%+1.5Buy Yes 46.5¢Buy No 53.5¢

11SI / Super Intelligence$270 vol43.5%−8.0Buy Yes 43.5¢Buy No 56.5¢

12Payroll$445 vol37.0%+7.0Buy Yes 37.0¢Buy No 63.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.