Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before October?
European Union leads at 52.5%, ahead of South Korea (50.0%) and Canada (49.5%).
- 24h volume
- $0
- Total volume
- $0
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the Which countries will the U.S. agree to trade deals with before October market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give European Union a 53% chance, ahead of South Korea at 50% and Canada at 50%.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more was tracked on this market while it traded.
How does this market resolve?
The market closed on Sep 30, 2025.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity between June 26, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.