Who will Trump speak to by November 30?
Xi Jinping leads at 97.7%, ahead of Mark Carney (93.5%) and Vladimir Putin (92.5%).
- 24h volume
- $2.2K
- Total volume
- $201.0K
- Whales
- 4
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the Who will Trump speak to by November 30 market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give Xi Jinping a 98% chance, ahead of Mark Carney at 94% and Vladimir Putin at 93%. 22 outcomes are listed. Xi Jinping has risen from 51% on Oct 31 to 98% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 2.9 points.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 4 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 4 wallets since Nov 2, $26.2K in all. All of it went to No on Ursula von der Leyen. The largest single bet was $8.1K on No on Ursula von der Leyen at 73¢ by @tangdai on Nov 2. $201.0K has been traded in total, $2.2K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 1, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.