Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027?
The market prices Yes at 58.0% and No at 42.0%.
- 24h volume
- $7.6K
- Total volume
- $7.6K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
What are the odds on "Will Trump veto a bill by February 1, 2027"?
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 58%. Yes has risen from 51% on Nov 4 to 56% now.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $7.6K has been traded in total, $7.6K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Feb 2, 2027.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump vetoes any bill or joint resolution between market creation and February 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A veto means the President returns a bill or joint resolution to Congress without signature, with objections, as provided in Article I, Section 7 of the U.S. Constitution, or a pocket veto. A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred on the date the bill or joint resolution is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto does not take effect until after February 1, 2027. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known. Veto threats, Statements of Administration Policy, and signing statements will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government, including Congress.gov and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.