Alaska Senate Election Winner

ActiveAlaska Midterm7 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Mary Peltola leads at 73.5%, ahead of Sen. Dan Sullivan (25.5%) and Ann Diener (0.05%).

24h volume: $19.6K
Total volume: $1.4M
Whales: 21
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 7Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Mary Peltola$824.1K vol73.5%-Buy Yes 73.5¢Buy No 26.5¢

Sen. Dan Sullivan$508.6K vol25.5%-Buy Yes 25.5¢Buy No 74.5¢

Ann Diener$37.1K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Dustin Darden$24.3K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Richard Grayson$24.9K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

David Leslie$2.4K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@BreakTheBankWhale1d ago

$12,219 buying Yes on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.26
Shares: 46,994
Profit if right: $34,776

0x64c8…73ceWhale1d ago

$43,774 buying No on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.74
Shares: 59,154
Profit if right: $15,380

@gopfan2Whale1d ago

$5,235 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.73
Shares: 7,172
Profit if right: $1,936

@gopfan2Whale3d ago

$5,111 buying No on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 7,099
Profit if right: $1,988

@Do-Not-RedeemWhale5d ago

$5,773 buying Yes on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.28
Shares: 20,618
Profit if right: $14,845

@lastminwinWhale6d ago

$14,600 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.73
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $5,400

0x5ecd…0787Whale6d ago

$6,473 buying No on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.27
Shares: 23,973
Profit if right: $17,500

@afdafdafdafdafdWhale8d ago

$11,100 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.74
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $3,900

@pantomimeWhale13d ago

$8,788 buying No on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 12,205
Profit if right: $3,417

@SlavaUkrainiWhale22d ago

$6,446 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 8,953
Profit if right: $2,507

@SlavaUkrainiWhale22d ago

$13,582 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 18,864
Profit if right: $5,282

@aenews2Whale22d ago

$6,250 buying Yes on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.25
Shares: 24,999
Profit if right: $18,750

@Valen9Whale22d ago

$6,975 buying No on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.78
Shares: 8,942
Profit if right: $1,967

@Do-Not-RedeemWhale22d ago

$7,436 buying Yes on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.22
Shares: 33,211
Profit if right: $25,775

0xe234…304aWhale22d ago

$7,800 buying No on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.78
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $2,200

@AllByMyseIfWhale23d ago

$6,240 buying No on Sen. Dan Sullivan

Bought at: $0.78
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $1,760

@Valen9Whale23d ago

$7,800 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.78
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $2,200

0xcb58…0160Whale23d ago

$7,700 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $2,300

@Outsid3rTradingWhale23d ago

$7,888 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.80
Shares: 9,860
Profit if right: $1,972

0xf30f…fa3eWhale24d ago

$18,072 buying No on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.23
Shares: 78,572
Profit if right: $60,500

@scottiliciousWhale24d ago

$60,562 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 78,652
Profit if right: $18,090

@scottiliciousWhale24d ago

$7,389 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 9,887
Profit if right: $2,498

@PolBanditWhale25d ago

$17,154 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 22,873
Profit if right: $5,718

0xf30f…fa3eWhale25d ago

$5,718 buying No on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.25
Shares: 22,873
Profit if right: $17,154

@SAPolitcsSeerWhale25d ago

$7,005 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 9,340
Profit if right: $2,335

@BuddhaYTorranceWhale25d ago

$5,025 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 6,700
Profit if right: $1,675

@lomneivanWhale29d ago

$5,195 buying Yes on Mary Peltola

Bought at: $0.66
Shares: 7,871
Profit if right: $2,676

More Elections markets

All Elections markets →