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China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

ActiveChinaEnds Jan 1, 2027

The market prices Yes at 22.5% and No at 77.5%.

24h volume
$1.0K
Total volume
$15.3K
Whales
0
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Chance
Yes 22.5%No 77.5%Yes +5.5pp 1W
OutcomeChance24hTrade on Polymarket
Yes22.5%+5.0Buy Yes 22.5¢
No77.5%−5.0Buy No 77.5¢