ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ActiveECB5 outcomesEnds Oct 30, 2026

No change leads at 97.0%, ahead of 25 bps increase (3.0%) and 50+ bps decrease (0.05%).

Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

No change$264.7K vol97.0%+4.0Buy Yes 97.0¢Buy No 3.0¢

25 bps increase$208.5K vol3.0%−3.5Buy Yes 3.0¢Buy No 97.0¢

50+ bps decrease$28.1K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

25 bps decrease$32.8K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

50+ bps increase$85.2K vol0.05%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 100.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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