Fed Decision in December?

ActiveFed5 outcomesEnds Dec 10, 2026

25 bps increase leads at 76.5%, ahead of No change (21.5%) and 50+ bps increase (2.9%).

24h volume: $189.3K
Total volume: $3.7M
Whales: 9
Fresh wallets: 2

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

25 bps increase$890.1K vol76.5%−2.0Buy Yes 76.5¢Buy No 23.5¢

No change$853.1K vol21.5%+3.0Buy Yes 21.5¢Buy No 78.5¢

50+ bps increase$524.0K vol2.9%−0.4Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.2¢

25 bps decrease$765.7K vol0.65%−0.2Buy Yes 0.7¢Buy No 99.3¢

50+ bps decrease$677.7K vol0.45%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m$359

All trades · 5m2

Buy pressure0%

@sun56Fresh41m ago

$190 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.76
Shares: 250
Profit if right: $60

@sun56Fresh3h ago

$35 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 45
Profit if right: $10

@ChakamanleWhale3h ago

$5,910 buying Yes on No change

Bought at: $0.20
Shares: 29,284
Profit if right: $23,375

@sun56Fresh3h ago

$1,286 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 1,670
Profit if right: $384

@sun56Fresh3h ago

$802 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 1,042
Profit if right: $240

@sun56Fresh3h ago

$506 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 658
Profit if right: $151

@sun56Fresh3h ago

$1,155 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 1,500
Profit if right: $345

@sun56Fresh3h ago

$648 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 842
Profit if right: $194

@AvamaxWhale2d ago

$10,048 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.79
Shares: 12,719
Profit if right: $2,671

@chriszyy3Whale2d ago

$9,669 buying No on 50+ bps increase

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 9,999
Profit if right: $330

@chriszyy3Whale2d ago

$6,466 buying No on 50+ bps increase

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 6,666
Profit if right: $200

@CDAP1Whale4d ago

$9,293 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 12,390
Profit if right: $3,098

@chriszyy3Whale9d ago

$12,728 buying No on 50+ bps increase

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 13,151
Profit if right: $423

@CDAP1Whale11d ago

$11,482 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.74
Shares: 15,518
Profit if right: $4,036

@S4uronWhale14d ago

$7,000 buying No on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.48
Shares: 14,644
Profit if right: $7,644

@AvamaxWhale15d ago

$5,469 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.74
Shares: 7,390
Profit if right: $1,921

@CDAP1Whale16d ago

$6,164 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 8,219
Profit if right: $2,055

0x9ad5…1811Fresh16d ago

$9,328 buying No on No change

Bought at: $0.79
Shares: 11,811
Profit if right: $2,483

@CDAP1Whale17d ago

$6,097 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 8,129
Profit if right: $2,032

@BiggggggggWhale18d ago

$11,841 buying No on 50+ bps decrease

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 11,889
Profit if right: $48

@BiggggggggWhale18d ago

$8,859 buying No on No change

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 11,890
Profit if right: $3,031

@BiggggggggWhale18d ago

$11,673 buying No on 50+ bps increase

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 11,889
Profit if right: $216

@BiggggggggWhale18d ago

$11,794 buying No on 25 bps decrease

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 11,889
Profit if right: $95

@BunCaChamWhale18d ago

$16,667 buying No on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.30
Shares: 55,555
Profit if right: $38,889

@CDAP1Whale18d ago

$69,997 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.70
Shares: 99,996
Profit if right: $29,999

@xiaoshen13898Whale18d ago

$12,023 buying No on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.30
Shares: 40,077
Profit if right: $28,054

@CDAP1Whale23d ago

$5,618 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.68
Shares: 8,202
Profit if right: $2,585

@CDAP1Whale24d ago

$14,344 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.69
Shares: 20,666
Profit if right: $6,322

@CDAP1Whale24d ago

$5,009 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.70
Shares: 7,155
Profit if right: $2,147

@CDAP1Whale28d ago

$7,753 buying Yes on 25 bps increase

Bought at: $0.66
Shares: 11,687
Profit if right: $3,934

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