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ActiveBusinessResolves Dec 31, 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting). Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market…

YES

77.3%

NO

22.8%

Trade on Polymarket

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

3 tracked

  1. @TheReturnOfDarthMaul
    Yes@ 76.7%·3d ago

    $14.9K

    19,454 shares

  2. @TheReturnOfDarthMaul
    Yes@ 80.0%·2d ago

    $14.4K

    18,000 shares

  3. @TheReturnOfDarthMaul
    Yes@ 79.9%·2d ago

    $14.4K

    18,000 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

  1. @Stillthinkofyou
    Yes@ 4.1%·13h ago

    $10

  2. @Stillthinkofyou
    Yes@ 13.0%·13h ago

    $10

  3. @SigmaSeeker8913
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $49

  4. @EliteWhale3923
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $58

  5. @SilentProphet4707
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $57

  6. @DeltaHawk1407
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $51

  7. @fafafafafafafafsadasdq
    Yes@ 13.0%·14h ago

    $39

  8. @CoolShark7746
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $46

  9. Delightful-Patriot
    Yes@ 77.3%·14h ago

    $1

  10. @Koke0308
    No@ 22.7%·14h ago

    $6

  11. @5js5o0u5
    No@ 96.0%·14h ago

    $32

  12. @UltraMage4174
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $54

  13. @HappyLion5200
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $57

  14. @BetaSamurai5471
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $60

  15. @SilverKnight8015
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $44

  16. @BoldBear7741
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $41

  17. @friday0016
    Yes@ 13.0%·14h ago

    $1

  18. @Laurentdepau
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $0

  19. @FastScout3503
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $57

  20. @NobleExplorer6808
    No@ 99.6%·14h ago

    $54

  21. @Laurentdepau
    No@ 99.7%·14h ago

    $1

  22. @Laurentdepau
    No@ 99.7%·14h ago

    $1

  23. @uniloktij
    Yes@ 13.0%·14h ago

    $8

  24. 0xa996…34b5
    No@ 99.7%·15h ago

    $2

  25. Soggy-Junk
    No@ 99.6%·15h ago

    $2

About this market

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Business category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 77.3% and NO at 22.8%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 3 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $14.9K on a total market volume of $39.24M. Last 24-hour volume: $137.9K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →