What are the current odds for "Fed Decision in July?"?

YES is currently trading at 81.5% on Polymarket. NO is at 18.5%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Jul 29, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $22.32M. Last 24h: $572.9K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $98.8K by pako entered at 99%. 50 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActivefomcResolves Jul 29, 2026

Fed Decision in July?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper…

YES

81.5%

18.5%

Volume

$22.32M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

50 tracked

1
@pako
No@ 98.8%·2d ago
$98.8K
100,000 shares
2
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
No@ 98.7%·2d ago
$88.8K
90,000 shares
3
@pako
No@ 98.8%·2d ago
$74.9K
75,790 shares
4
@gokol
No@ 98.9%·2d ago
$69.2K
70,000 shares
5
@UnderperformingForALiving
No@ 81.6%·1d ago
$38.4K
47,021 shares
6
@b2d0
Yes@ 81.0%·1d ago
$32.4K
40,000 shares
7
@hawkj
Yes@ 76.0%·3d ago
$26.2K
34,526 shares
8
@XAE12Archangel
Yes@ 78.0%·2d ago
$23.4K
30,000 shares
9
@XAE12Archangel
No@ 77.4%·3d ago
$23.2K
29,978 shares
10
@gaven-willwin
Yes@ 81.0%·2d ago
$22.7K
28,004 shares
11
@gaven-willwin
Yes@ 74.0%·3d ago
$22.2K
29,936 shares
12
@XAE12Archangel
No@ 82.6%·1d ago
$20.5K
24,777 shares
13
@rooivalk
Yes@ 79.0%·2d ago
$19.8K
25,000 shares
14
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
Yes@ 18.1%·1d ago
$18.1K
100,000 shares
15
@NonceChaser
Yes@ 81.0%·5h ago
$16.4K
20,192 shares
16
@XAE12Archangel
No@ 79.8%·2d ago
$16.0K
20,000 shares
17
@pako
No@ 98.6%·1d ago
$15.4K
15,646 shares
18
@XAE12Archangel
No@ 79.9%·2d ago
$15.3K
19,089 shares
19
@wokerjoesleeper
Yes@ 75.0%·3d ago
$15.0K
20,000 shares
20
@ps5
Yes@ 75.0%·3d ago
$15.0K
20,000 shares
21
@gokol
No@ 98.7%·1d ago
$14.9K
15,126 shares
22
@tetrose
Yes@ 24.1%·3d ago
$14.4K
59,656 shares
23
@pako
No@ 98.6%·1d ago
$13.9K
14,050 shares
24
@XAE12Archangel
No@ 77.1%·2d ago
$13.3K
17,230 shares
25
@XAE12Archangel
No@ 75.7%·3d ago
$13.0K
17,211 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@cryptoroya
Yes@ 81.0%·1h ago
$1
Sick-Trillion-Webinar
Yes@ 1.3%·1h ago
$7
@dfdfshjdgk
No@ 98.8%·1h ago
$358
@gsdfgfds
No@ 98.8%·1h ago
$175
Delayed-Meringue
Yes@ 17.0%·1h ago
$7
@Schatzmat84
No@ 83.0%·1h ago
$98
@luohoang
No@ 99.6%·1h ago
$5
@aaziya435
No@ 99.6%·1h ago
$4
@Stas36
Yes@ 1.3%·1h ago
$4
@profitlaa
No@ 99.6%·1h ago
$6
@NancyMK
No@ 99.5%·1h ago
$12
@qqqowsd
No@ 19.0%·1h ago
$12
@BishopBarron
No@ 99.5%·1h ago
$10
@Wahabolashile
Yes@ 81.0%·1h ago
$1
@hhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh
Yes@ 82.0%·1h ago
$4.1K
@lensiseethrough
No@ 99.6%·1h ago
$8
@goose-gong
Yes@ 1.3%·2h ago
$14
@gerteeeqrn
No@ 99.6%·2h ago
$15
@tolledo
Yes@ 17.0%·2h ago
$23
Wide-Eyed-Scraper
Yes@ 82.0%·2h ago
$10
@hedgeleg
No@ 18.0%·2h ago
$2
0x0f46…80aa
Yes@ 81.0%·2h ago
$2
@rhckgpmm
No@ 99.6%·2h ago
$8
@Shubham61889097
No@ 99.6%·2h ago
$13
@RubenSZ
Yes@ 82.0%·2h ago
$21

About this market

Fed Decision in July? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the fomc category, resolving on Jul 29, 2026. Current odds put YES at 81.5% and NO at 18.5%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 50 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $98.8K on a total market volume of $22.32M. Last 24-hour volume: $572.9K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →