Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?
December 31 leads at 89.3%, ahead of November 30 (59.5%) and November 15 (5.5%).
- 24h volume
- $1.9K
- Total volume
- $83.0K
- Whales
- 1
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the Trump declassifies new UFO files by... market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give December 31 a 89% chance, ahead of November 30 at 60% and November 15 at 6%. December 31 has fallen from 94% on Oct 29 to 89% now. Over the last 24 hours it is down 0.6 points.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 1 whale bet ($5,000 or more) on this market from 1 wallet since Oct 27, $8.4K in all. All of it went to No on November 15. The largest single bet was $8.4K on No on November 15 at 90¢ by @tetrase on Oct 27. $83.0K has been traded in total, $1.9K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 1, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.