UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)

ClosedSports19 outcomesEnds Oct 25, 2026

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $507.4K
Whales: 14
Fresh wallets: 1

Source: Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 19Chance24h

Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita$488.3K vol · resolved100.0%+42.4

Fight won by KO/TKO?$1.4K vol · resolved100.0%+45.0

Pico to win by KO/TKO?$120 vol · resolved100.0%+73.5

Ends before Round 2?$62 vol · resolved100.0%+71.5

Ends before Round 3?$120 vol · resolved100.0%+48.9

Pico in Round 1$5 vol · resolved100.0%+84.5

Fight to Go the Distance?$6.2K vol · resolved0.0%−34.4

Keita to win by KO/TKO?$5.3K vol · resolved0.0%−28.4

Fight won by submission?$1.9K vol · resolved0.0%−9.4

O/U 0.5 Rounds$319 vol · resolved0.0%−83.5

O/U 1.5 Rounds$1.4K vol · resolved0.0%−58.5

O/U 2.5 Rounds$580 vol · resolved0.0%−43.0

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsClosed

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@Novelty8Whale2d ago

$18,073 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 18,092
Profit if right: $18

@AnonymousPersonWhale2d ago

$6,379 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 6,385
Profit if right: $6

@thebluegemWhale2d ago

$9,900 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $100

@thebluegemWhale2d ago

$9,900 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $100

@thebluegemWhale2d ago

$9,900 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $100

@thebluegemWhale2d ago

$9,900 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $100

@errormargin3Whale2d ago

$10,511 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 11,102
Profit if right: $591

@errormargin3Whale2d ago

$6,912 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.99
Shares: 6,990
Profit if right: $78

@beautifulobsessionWhale2d ago

$10,000 buying Losene Keita on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.43
Shares: 23,256
Profit if right: $13,256

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$13,256 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.57
Shares: 23,256
Profit if right: $10,000

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$16,310 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.57
Shares: 28,615
Profit if right: $12,304

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$9,281 buying Losene Keita on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 20,624
Profit if right: $11,343

@VeryLucky888Whale2d ago

$5,412 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.55
Shares: 9,840
Profit if right: $4,428

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$7,268 buying Losene Keita on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 16,151
Profit if right: $8,883

@oudine2Whale2d ago

$5,500 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.55
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $4,500

@Sassy-BucketWhale2d ago

$8,931 buying Losene Keita on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 19,846
Profit if right: $10,915

@FeedTheBigBirdWhale2d ago

$7,691 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.57
Shares: 13,494
Profit if right: $5,802

@ispWhale2d ago

$7,306 buying Losene Keita on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.43
Shares: 16,992
Profit if right: $9,685

@nigiri99Whale2d ago

$8,600 buying Losene Keita on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.43
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $11,400

@FeedTheBigBirdWhale2d ago

$11,400 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.57
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $8,600

@ajwildthingFresh2d ago

$900 buying Losene Keita on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.43
Shares: 2,093
Profit if right: $1,193

@esportsbetter1Whale2d ago

$8,146 buying Losene Keita on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.42
Shares: 19,395
Profit if right: $11,249

@RaisuuWhale2d ago

$14,813 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.58
Shares: 25,540
Profit if right: $10,727

@monkeymashingkeyboardWhale5d ago

$5,111 buying Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita

Bought at: $0.53
Shares: 9,643
Profit if right: $4,532

Market read

What are the odds on "UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita (Featherweight, Prelims)"?

No outcome is trading right now.

Where is the whale money going?

Our tracker has logged 23 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 14 wallets since Oct 21, $220.5K in all. The most whale money went to Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita: $161.0K, 73% of the total. The largest single bet was $18.1K on Aaron Pico on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita at 100¢ by @Novelty8 on Oct 24. 1 first-time wallet has bet $500 or more here, the biggest $900 on Losene Keita on Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita. $507.4K has been traded in total.

How does this market resolve?

The market closed on Oct 25, 2026.

Resolution rules from Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Aaron Pico" if Aaron Pico is officially declared the winner of the fight against Losene Keita at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

It will resolve to "Losene Keita" if Losene Keita is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.

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