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US Trade Deficit in 2026?

ActiveEconomy8 outcomesEnds May 1, 2027

800–900B leads at 43.0%, ahead of 700–800B (21.0%) and 900B–1T (14.0%).

24h volume: $0
Total volume: $25.0K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

800–900B$2.0K vol43.0%-Buy Yes 43.0¢Buy No 57.0¢

700–800B$725 vol21.0%+0.5Buy Yes 21.0¢Buy No 79.0¢

900B–1T$1.6K vol14.0%+0.5Buy Yes 14.0¢Buy No 86.0¢

600–700B$551 vol9.8%-Buy Yes 9.8¢Buy No 90.2¢

500–600B$454 vol4.8%-Buy Yes 4.8¢Buy No 95.3¢

1.1T+$1.2K vol4.3%+0.3Buy Yes 4.3¢Buy No 95.8¢

1T–1.1T$1.6K vol3.5%−0.8Buy Yes 3.5¢Buy No 96.5¢

<500B$16.9K vol2.9%+0.1Buy Yes 2.9¢Buy No 97.1¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.