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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

ActiveWeather & Science6 outcomesEnds Mar 2, 2027

1 leads at 78.5%, ahead of 2 (19.0%) and 3 (0.25%).

24h volume
$5.5K
Total volume
$3.8M
Whales
2
Fresh wallets
0
Trade on Polymarket ↗
Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket
1$713.9K vol78.5%+7.0Buy Yes 78.5¢Buy No 21.5¢
2$470.3K vol19.0%−9.0Buy Yes 19.0¢Buy No 81.0¢
3$533.8K vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢
4$554.6K vol0.20%-Buy Yes 0.2¢Buy No 99.8¢
5$902.8K vol0.15%-Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.8¢
6 or lower$604.8K vol0.10%−0.1Buy Yes 0.1¢Buy No 99.9¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.