Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

September 30, 2026$709.2K vol · resolved100.0%+0.4

August 31, 2026$505.5K vol · resolved100.0%+1.9

December 31, 2026$2.3M vol · resolved100.0%+0.8

May 31, 2026$69.9K vol · resolved0.0%−1.4

August 31$820.5K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

December 31$1.3M vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

October 31$701.1K vol · resolved0.0%−0.2

July 31, 2026$290.5K vol · resolved0.0%−3.6

September 30$163.8K vol · resolved0.0%-

July 19, 2026$6.4K vol · resolved0.0%−0.7

August 15, 2026$38.4K vol · resolved0.0%−1.1

November 30$229.5K vol · resolved0.0%+0.4

March 31, 2026$965.8K vol · resolved0.0%+3.0

January 31, 2026$496.6K vol · resolved0.0%−0.3

February 28, 2026$486.2K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

June 30, 2026$749.5K vol · resolved0.0%−4.8

April 30, 2026$223.8K vol · resolved0.0%−1.0

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.