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What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

ActiveFed Rates15 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

4.25% leads at 66.8%, ahead of 4.0% (17.9%) and ≥ 4.5% (13.5%).

24h volume: $7.1K
Total volume: $7.1M
Whales: 1
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 15Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

4.25%$576.9K vol66.8%+8.1Buy Yes 66.8¢Buy No 33.3¢

4.0%$1.4M vol17.9%+10.1Buy Yes 17.9¢Buy No 82.0¢

≥ 4.5%$2.4M vol13.5%−9.2Buy Yes 13.5¢Buy No 86.5¢

3.5%$208.6K vol1.6%-Buy Yes 1.6¢Buy No 98.5¢

3.75%$540.3K vol1.4%+0.1Buy Yes 1.4¢Buy No 98.6¢

≤1.0%$271.1K vol0.75%-Buy Yes 0.8¢Buy No 99.3¢

3.25%$88.4K vol0.40%-Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.6¢

1.25$155.4K vol0.35%+0.1Buy Yes 0.4¢Buy No 99.7¢

2.25%$95.0K vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

2.5%$181.8K vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

3.0%$501.7K vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

1.75%$155.2K vol0.25%-Buy Yes 0.3¢Buy No 99.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.