Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?
The market prices Yes at 29.0% and No at 71.0%.
- 24h volume
- $26.1K
- Total volume
- $187.9K
- Whales
- 2
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
What are the odds on "Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026"?
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 71%. Over the last 24 hours it is down 9.5 points.
Where is the whale money going?
Our tracker has logged 2 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 2 wallets since Oct 31, $19.8K in all. All of it went to No. The largest single bet was $13.9K on No at 76¢ by @Michael-The-Taxiarch on Nov 3. $187.9K has been traded in total, $26.1K of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.