Polymarket Geopolitics Odds – Page 3
Market
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?00$0$968.0KJan 1, 27
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?00$12$945.3KJan 1, 27
Maduro Prison Time?60$5.5K$921.3KJan 1, 28
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?00$4.4K$912.7KJan 1, 27
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?155$1.3K$887.1KNov 1, 26
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?00$69$873.5KJan 1, 27
Will Russia capture Sumy by...?00$0$872.3KApr 1, 27
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?20$356$867.3KJan 1, 27
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?20$6.4K$861.8KJan 1, 27
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?61$1.5K$849.9KNov 1, 26
Nothing Ever Happens: 202600$9.1K$843.8KDec 31, 26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?60$20.1K$836.5KDec 1, 26
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?00$0$825.0KJan 1, 27
U.S. nuclear test by...?00$100$800.9KJan 1, 27
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?00$0$774.8KJan 1, 27
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?00$0$767.5KJan 1, 27
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?00$83$763.0KJan 1, 27
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?20$9.0K$742.5KDec 31, 26
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?10$106$681.3KJan 1, 27
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?00$0$663.1KJan 1, 27
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?00$10$657.8KJan 1, 27
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?70$221.7K$655.9KNov 4, 26
Erdoğan out by...?00$76$649.3KDec 31, 27
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?00$0$642.3KJan 1, 27
Houthis enter Aden by...?41$4.5K$641.7KJan 1, 27
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo00$387$637.9KJan 1, 27
Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?00$18$637.5KJan 1, 27
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?00$0$627.1KJan 1, 27
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?00$8.1K$613.5KJan 1, 27
Will Russia invade another country by...?20$301$607.3KJan 1, 28
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?120$34.8K$605.6KJul 1, 27
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?30$28.3K$584.1KJan 1, 27
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?40$112$565.7KJan 1, 27
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?42$1.0K$562.2KJan 1, 27
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?00$2.2K$560.0KFeb 1, 27
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?102$13.7K$549.4KNov 1, 26
US military draft authorized in 2026?00$0$544.3KJan 1, 27
Will Israel annex any territory by...?00$127$536.1KJan 1, 27
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?00$157$534.9KJan 1, 27
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?00$0$533.6KJan 1, 27
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?10$9.9K$515.1KJan 1, 27
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?00$6.3K$504.1KJul 1, 27
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?00$2.2K$487.1KJan 1, 27
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?00$2.1K$485.7KJan 1, 27
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?10$4.6K$477.8KJan 1, 27
Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?10$1.9K$463.8KJan 1, 27
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?00$0$462.5KJan 1, 27
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?00$0$460.6KJan 1, 27
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?00$0$458.2KDec 31, 26
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?00$0$452.7KJan 1, 27