Polymarket Geopolitics Odds – Page 4
Market
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?00$42$449.3KJan 1, 27
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?00$11$449.2KJan 1, 27
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?00$26$448.5KJan 1, 27
US x Cuba economic deal by...?00$108$442.8KJan 1, 27
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?70$229.3K$432.9KNov 4, 26
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?20$1.3K$426.0KJan 1, 27
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?00$3.0K$419.3KNov 1, 26
Israel military action against Beirut by...?00$123$419.2KOct 31, 26
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?50$69.0K$415.7KJan 1, 27
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?01$131$408.7KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?50$439$403.9KJan 1, 27
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?00$217$402.0KJan 1, 27
Trump meets with Putin by...?10$6.3K$400.0KJan 1, 27
Will Venezuela become 51st state?00$5$397.8KJan 1, 27
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)40$13.5K$389.5KJan 1, 27
Modi out by December 31, 2026?11$251$381.1KJan 1, 27
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?00$194$375.6KJan 1, 27
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?00$248$359.7KJan 1, 27
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?00$0$355.2KDec 31, 26
Will Trump visit Greenland by...?00$18$354.8KJan 1, 27
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?30$81.8K$349.9KNov 4, 26
Guinea-Bissau Presidential Election00$0$342.0KNov 24, 25
China x India military clash by...?00$0$333.2KJan 1, 27
European military action against Iran by...?00$0$332.2KDec 31, 26
Israel military action against Yemen by...?00$149$330.0KDec 31, 26
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?00$51$326.8KJan 1, 27
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?10$0$317.8KJan 1, 27
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?40$62.0K$316.9KJan 1, 27
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?00$9$308.6KJan 1, 27
Saudi airspace closed by...?00$4.6K$304.7KJan 1, 27
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?00$1.0K$303.2KJan 1, 27
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?129$10.8K$302.6KNov 1, 26
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner00$3.1K$298.9KNov 29, 26
Will Russia enter Borova by...?00$0$298.8KJan 1, 27
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by...?00$0$298.7KJan 1, 27
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?00$1000$288.8KJan 1, 27
NATO article 5 before 2027?10$0$283.1KJan 1, 27
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?00$0$281.5KJan 1, 27
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?00$0$279.6KJan 1, 27Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?10$18.1K$279.4KNov 4, 26
Iran nuclear test before 2027?00$3.6K$278.1KJan 1, 27
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?00$1.9K$274.0KJan 1, 27
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?00$51$273.6KJan 1, 27
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?00$5$268.3KJan 1, 27
Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?10$32.3K$267.2KOct 1, 26
Russia military action against EU country by...?20$0$262.7KJan 1, 28
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?00$161$256.8KDec 31, 26
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?00$0$255.9KJan 1, 27
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?00$730$253.2KJan 1, 27
Houthi military action against Israel by...?00$340$252.1KDec 31, 26