Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

ActiveKyiv31 outcomesEnds Nov 1, 2026

October 17 leads at 93.5%, ahead of October 18 (91.5%) and October 19 (90.0%).

24h volume: $65.2K
Total volume: $603.4K
Whales: 11
Fresh wallets: 2

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 31Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

October 17$41.0K vol93.5%-Buy Yes 93.5¢Buy No 6.5¢

October 18$24.3K vol91.5%−0.5Buy Yes 91.5¢Buy No 8.5¢

October 19$21.4K vol90.0%−1.0Buy Yes 90.0¢Buy No 10.0¢

October 21$497 vol90.0%+1.0Buy Yes 90.0¢Buy No 10.0¢

October 20$20.6K vol89.5%+0.5Buy Yes 89.5¢Buy No 10.5¢

October 25$3.3K vol86.5%+3.0Buy Yes 86.5¢Buy No 13.5¢

October 27$120 vol86.5%+2.0Buy Yes 86.5¢Buy No 13.5¢

October 28$236 vol86.5%+2.0Buy Yes 86.5¢Buy No 13.5¢

October 31$543 vol86.0%+1.5Buy Yes 86.0¢Buy No 14.0¢

October 26$211 vol84.5%+1.0Buy Yes 84.5¢Buy No 15.5¢

October 22$20.4K vol84.0%-Buy Yes 84.0¢Buy No 16.0¢

October 23$5.1K vol83.0%+0.5Buy Yes 83.0¢Buy No 17.0¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@ZhangMuZhisDaddyWhale4h ago

$6,409 buying Yes on October 16

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 6,415
Profit if right: $6

@ZhangMuZhisDaddyWhale4h ago

$9,987 buying Yes on October 16

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $13

@OraculumNobiusWhale4h ago

$9,989 buying Yes on October 16

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 10,010
Profit if right: $21

@ZhangMuZhisDaddyWhale1d ago

$19,980 buying Yes on October 15

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $20

@shccWhale1d ago

$8,380 buying Yes on October 15

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 8,389
Profit if right: $8

@matchamissionWhale1d ago

$8,773 buying Yes on October 15

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 8,781
Profit if right: $9

@Bromley86Whale1d ago

$9,327 buying Yes on October 15

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 9,337
Profit if right: $9

@shccWhale2d ago

$8,816 buying Yes on October 14

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 8,825
Profit if right: $9

@matchamissionWhale2d ago

$8,757 buying Yes on October 14

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 8,766
Profit if right: $9

@ZhangMuZhisDaddyWhale2d ago

$9,990 buying Yes on October 14

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $10

@pilipro3Whale2d ago

$9,990 buying Yes on October 14

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $10

@aenews2Whale3d ago

$8,157 buying Yes on October 16

Bought at: $0.71
Shares: 11,556
Profit if right: $3,400

0x167d…e531Fresh3d ago

$2,472 buying No on October 23

Bought at: $0.87
Shares: 2,844
Profit if right: $371

@HerrieDavisWhale3d ago

$16,900 buying No on October 16

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $3,100

0x167d…e531Fresh3d ago

$3,101 buying Yes on October 16

Bought at: $0.15
Shares: 20,004
Profit if right: $16,903

@HerrieDavisWhale3d ago

$16,300 buying No on October 22

Bought at: $0.81
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $3,700

0x167d…e531Fresh3d ago

$3,701 buying Yes on October 22

Bought at: $0.18
Shares: 20,008
Profit if right: $16,306

@HerrieDavisWhale3d ago

$16,900 buying No on October 17

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $3,100

0x167d…e531Fresh3d ago

$3,101 buying Yes on October 17

Bought at: $0.15
Shares: 20,004
Profit if right: $16,903

@HerrieDavisWhale3d ago

$17,300 buying No on October 20

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $2,700

0x167d…e531Fresh3d ago

$2,700 buying Yes on October 20

Bought at: $0.14
Shares: 20,003
Profit if right: $17,303

@HerrieDavisWhale3d ago

$17,500 buying No on October 19

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $2,500

0x167d…e531Fresh3d ago

$2,500 buying Yes on October 19

Bought at: $0.13
Shares: 20,003
Profit if right: $17,503

@HerrieDavisWhale3d ago

$16,900 buying No on October 18

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $3,100

0x167d…e531Fresh3d ago

$3,101 buying Yes on October 18

Bought at: $0.15
Shares: 20,004
Profit if right: $16,903

@SubashChandraBoseWhale12d ago

$5,909 buying Yes on October 4

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $91

@revenuekingFresh15d ago

$26,382 buying Yes on October 4

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 28,676
Profit if right: $2,294

@sammydannyWhale15d ago

$29,486 buying Yes on October 12

Bought at: $0.94
Shares: 31,368
Profit if right: $1,882

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