Fed Decision in June?
- 24h volume
- $0
- Total volume
- $164.6M
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
No change$43.1M vol · resolved100.0%+0.450+ bps decrease$37.9M vol · resolved0.0%-25 bps decrease$30.9M vol · resolved0.0%−0.225 bps increase$31.0M vol · resolved0.0%−0.150+ bps increase$21.7M vol · resolved0.0%-Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.
Market read
What are the odds on "Fed Decision in June"?
No outcome is trading right now.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $164.6M has been traded in total.
How does this market resolve?
The market closed on Jun 17, 2026.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's June 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for June 16-17, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.