Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?
The market prices Yes at 0.0% and No at 100.0%.
- 24h volume
- $0
- Total volume
- $2.0M
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
What are the odds on "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday"?
Polymarket traders put the chance of Yes at 100%. Over the last 24 hours it is up 1.5 points.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $2.0M has been traded in total.
How does this market resolve?
The market closed on Jun 20, 2025.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran of for any length of time between June 15, 2025, and June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Khamenei ceases to be Supreme Leader of Iran for any length of time within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market will not resolve to "No" until its timeframe expires and Khamenei has remained Supreme Leader for the entire duration without interruption.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information released by the government of Iran, however, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.