Thunder vs. Mavericks

ActiveSports445 linesEnds Oct 29, 2026

Final: the Mavericks beat the Thunder.

24h volume: $5.8M
Total volume: $5.9M
Whales: 26
Fresh wallets: 0

Source: Polymarket ↗

Thunder 0.0%Mavericks 100.0%Thunder −47.5pp 1W

Moneyline

1 line · $3.3M vol

Thunder$3.3M vol · resolved0.0%−66.5

Mavericks$3.3M vol · resolved100.0%+66.5

Spread

34 lines · $1.2M vol

Thunder -5.5$375.7K vol · resolved0.0%−51.4

Thunder -4.5$153.6K vol · resolved0.0%−55.5

Mavericks -7.5$113.4K vol · resolved100.0%+85.0

Thunder -6.5$107.0K vol · resolved0.0%−47.4

Total

25 lines · $1.3M vol

Over 234.5$506.5K vol · resolved0.0%−38.0

Over 228.5$215.2K vol · resolved0.0%−51.9

Over 230.5$166.2K vol · resolved0.0%−46.5

Over 236.5$164.2K vol · resolved0.0%−35.4

Kyrie Irving

28 lines · $10.1K vol

Assists over 3.5$2.8K vol52.5%-

Isaiah Hartenstein

17 lines · $7.8K vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Aday Mara

14 lines · $5.0K vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Max Christie

18 lines · $4.4K vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

32 lines · $3.5K vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Jared McCain

18 lines · $3.5K vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Daniel Gafford

15 lines · $3.4K vol

Points over 4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Ajay Mitchell

24 lines · $2.9K vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Kenrich Williams

13 lines · $2.2K vol

Rebounds over 3.5No trades yet10.0%-

Cooper Flagg

35 lines · $1.8K vol

Points over 9.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

1st half

38 lines · $12.5K vol

Total: Over 113.5$4.4K vol · resolved100.0%-

Total: Over 111.5$1.6K vol · resolved100.0%-

Total: Over 115.5$1.4K vol · resolved100.0%-

Total: Over 121.5$1.3K vol · resolved100.0%-

1st quarter

14 lines · $2.2K vol

Total: Over 58.5$2.1K vol · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Mavericks -4.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Mavericks -2.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Thunder -1.5$74 vol · resolved0.0%-

2nd quarter

9 lines · $55 vol

Spread: Mavericks -2.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Thunder -3.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Thunder -1.5$55 vol · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Thunder -5.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

3rd quarter

13 lines

Spread: Mavericks -4.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Mavericks -2.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Thunder -1.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Thunder -5.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

4th quarter

7 lines

Spread: Mavericks -2.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Spread: Thunder -1.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Thunder -5.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Spread: Thunder -3.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Thunder

11 lines · $43 vol

Over 105.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Over 107.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Thunder · 1st half

5 lines · $38 vol

Over 53.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Over 55.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Thunder · 2nd half

5 lines

Over 54.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Over 56.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Mavericks

13 lines · $50 vol

Over 100.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Over 102.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Mavericks · 1st half

5 lines · $239 vol

Over 54.5$239 vol · resolved100.0%-

Over 50.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Mavericks · 2nd half

5 lines

Over 60.5No trades yet · resolved0.0%-

Over 52.5No trades yet · resolved100.0%-

Final lines. Click a line to chart it. Spreads and totals list the busiest lines first; decided and untraded lines sit at the bottom. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@BIAVNWhale2h ago

$5,538 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 5,543
Profit if right: $6

@Cactus-001Whale2h ago

$14,985 buying Under on Over 232.5

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $15

@JackenxandWhale2h ago

$23,456 buying Under on Over 232.5

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 23,480
Profit if right: $23

@xuejiaoWhale2h ago

$5,069 buying Mavericks on Mavericks -11.5

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 5,074
Profit if right: $5

@Aceplus4Whale2h ago

$5,360 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 5,365
Profit if right: $5

@Paul973973Whale2h ago

$5,000 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 5,005
Profit if right: $5

@FlexingSoHardWhale2h ago

$5,571 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 5,577
Profit if right: $6

@Paul973973Whale2h ago

$10,000 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 10,010
Profit if right: $10

@JerOriWhale2h ago

$8,991 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 9,000
Profit if right: $9

@minecraftpickaxeWhale2h ago

$5,411 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $1.00
Shares: 5,416
Profit if right: $5

@FlaznorpWhale2h ago

$19,255 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 19,648
Profit if right: $393

0x2c33…0563Whale2h ago

$15,988 buying Under on Over 228.5

Bought at: $0.39
Shares: 40,994
Profit if right: $25,006

@MD14Whale2h ago

$25,006 buying Over on Over 228.5

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 40,994
Profit if right: $15,988

0x246b…fb5bWhale2h ago

$17,000 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 17,708
Profit if right: $708

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale2h ago

$9,735 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 10,247
Profit if right: $512

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale2h ago

$12,622 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 13,286
Profit if right: $664

@Aceplus4Whale2h ago

$5,300 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 5,579
Profit if right: $279

@ferrariChampions2026Whale2h ago

$5,982 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 6,297
Profit if right: $315

@Aceplus4Whale2h ago

$6,649 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 7,263
Profit if right: $614

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale2h ago

$21,802 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 26,267
Profit if right: $4,465

@NS13Whale2h ago

$11,673 buying Thunder

Bought at: $0.17
Shares: 68,667
Profit if right: $56,993

@mooseborzoiiWhale2h ago

$9,614 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 11,583
Profit if right: $1,969

@ferrariChampions2026Whale2h ago

$21,575 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 25,994
Profit if right: $4,419

@NooseracWhale2h ago

$21,350 buying Mavericks on Mavericks -7.5

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 35,000
Profit if right: $13,650

0x3dfb…abafWhale2h ago

$13,650 buying Thunder on Mavericks -7.5

Bought at: $0.39
Shares: 35,000
Profit if right: $21,350

0x3dfb…abafWhale2h ago

$11,588 buying Thunder on Mavericks -9.5

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 23,176
Profit if right: $11,588

0x2c33…0563Whale2h ago

$11,588 buying Mavericks on Mavericks -9.5

Bought at: $0.50
Shares: 23,176
Profit if right: $11,588

@NooseracWhale2h ago

$6,728 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.80
Shares: 8,409
Profit if right: $1,682

@mooseborzoiiWhale2h ago

$5,789 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.79
Shares: 7,328
Profit if right: $1,539

@mooseborzoiiWhale2h ago

$5,897 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.75
Shares: 7,864
Profit if right: $1,967

0x2c33…0563Whale2h ago

$7,029 buying Mavericks on Mavericks -7.5

Bought at: $0.32
Shares: 21,965
Profit if right: $14,936

@aibabyWhale2h ago

$14,936 buying Thunder on Mavericks -7.5

Bought at: $0.68
Shares: 21,965
Profit if right: $7,029

@aibabyWhale2h ago

$9,002 buying Thunder on Mavericks -7.5

Bought at: $0.68
Shares: 13,238
Profit if right: $4,236

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale2h ago

$5,875 buying Over on Over 232.5

Bought at: $0.48
Shares: 12,240
Profit if right: $6,365

@MD14Whale2h ago

$7,035 buying Under on Over 232.5

Bought at: $0.52
Shares: 13,530
Profit if right: $6,494

@ferrariChampions2026Whale2h ago

$5,349 buying Thunder

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 14,076
Profit if right: $8,727

@johnny234Whale2h ago

$8,727 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 14,076
Profit if right: $5,349

@mooseborzoiiWhale3h ago

$5,218 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 8,553
Profit if right: $3,336

@mooseborzoiiWhale3h ago

$12,345 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 20,238
Profit if right: $7,893

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale3h ago

$7,540 buying Thunder

Bought at: $0.39
Shares: 19,334
Profit if right: $11,794

@kkookkooWhale3h ago

$24,888 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.78
Shares: 31,834
Profit if right: $6,946

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale3h ago

$7,200 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $2,800

@rew456Whale3h ago

$5,220 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.73
Shares: 7,150
Profit if right: $1,931

@ferrariChampions2026Whale3h ago

$5,444 buying Thunder

Bought at: $0.27
Shares: 20,161
Profit if right: $14,718

@0x3mf379C47E653dafa153841a995Cf975B6a02fxdWhale3h ago

$16,606 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.73
Shares: 22,748
Profit if right: $6,142

@ferrariChampions2026Whale3h ago

$7,714 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 10,714
Profit if right: $3,000

@NooseracWhale3h ago

$13,750 buying Mavericks on Mavericks -5.5

Bought at: $0.55
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $11,250

0x3dfb…abafWhale3h ago

$11,250 buying Thunder on Mavericks -5.5

Bought at: $0.45
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $13,750

@NS13Whale3h ago

$15,389 buying Thunder

Bought at: $0.28
Shares: 54,962
Profit if right: $39,573

@keeptheblueflagflyinghighWhale3h ago

$22,806 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 31,674
Profit if right: $8,869

@ferrariChampions2026Whale3h ago

$14,652 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.72
Shares: 20,350
Profit if right: $5,698

0x3dfb…abafWhale3h ago

$7,168 buying Thunder on Mavericks -3.5

Bought at: $0.47
Shares: 15,251
Profit if right: $8,083

0x2c33…0563Whale3h ago

$8,083 buying Mavericks on Mavericks -3.5

Bought at: $0.53
Shares: 15,251
Profit if right: $7,168

@mooseborzoiiWhale3h ago

$6,429 buying Thunder

Bought at: $0.41
Shares: 15,502
Profit if right: $9,073

0x2c33…0563Whale3h ago

$6,472 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.58
Shares: 11,159
Profit if right: $4,687

0x3dfb…abafWhale3h ago

$15,687 buying Under on Over 234.5

Bought at: $0.47
Shares: 33,377
Profit if right: $17,690

@googleplayWhale3h ago

$180,400 buying Over on Over 234.5

Bought at: $0.53
Shares: 340,377
Profit if right: $159,977

@yabanciWhale3h ago

$50,290 buying Under on Over 234.5

Bought at: $0.47
Shares: 107,000
Profit if right: $56,710

0x2c33…0563Whale3h ago

$94,000 buying Under on Over 234.5

Bought at: $0.47
Shares: 200,000
Profit if right: $106,000

@ferrariChampions2026Whale3h ago

$8,055 buying Mavericks

Bought at: $0.54
Shares: 14,917
Profit if right: $6,862

Market read

Who is favoured in Thunder vs Mavericks?

Final: the Mavericks beat the Thunder on Oct 28.

Where is the whale money going?

Our tracker has logged 170 whale bets ($5,000 or more) on this market from 54 wallets since Oct 28, $2.1M in all. The most whale money went to the Mavericks: $601.6K, 28% of the total. The largest single bet was $180.4K on Over on O/U 234.5 at 53¢ by @googleplay on Oct 29. $5.9M has been traded in total, $5.8M of it in the last 24 hours.

How does this market resolve?

Resolution rules from Polymarket

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:30PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.

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Thunder vs. Mavericks

Moneyline

Spread

Total

Kyrie Irving

Isaiah Hartenstein

Aday Mara

Max Christie

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Jared McCain

Daniel Gafford

Ajay Mitchell

Kenrich Williams

Cooper Flagg

P.J. Washington

Jaylin Williams

Bennett Stirtz

1st half

1st quarter

2nd quarter

3rd quarter

4th quarter

Thunder

Thunder · 1st half

Thunder · 2nd half

Mavericks

Mavericks · 1st half

Mavericks · 2nd half

Specials

Market read

Who is favoured in Thunder vs Mavericks?

Where is the whale money going?

How does this market resolve?

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