SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 by...?
March 31, 2027 leads at 50.0%, ahead of December 31, 2026 (3.8%).
- 24h volume
- $10
- Total volume
- $30.8K
- Whales
- 0
- Fresh wallets
- 0
Market read
Who leads the SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 by... market on Polymarket?
Polymarket traders give March 31, 2027 a 50% chance, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 4%. March 31, 2027 has held near 50% since Oct 29.
Where is the whale money going?
No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $30.8K has been traded in total, $10 of it in the last 24 hours.
How does this market resolve?
Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 1, 2027.
Resolution rules from Polymarket
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Whales are single buys of $5,000 or more; fresh wallets are first-time accounts betting $500 or more. Prices are Polymarket's own and move with every trade. How we count these.