What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

ActiveFinance29 outcomesEnds Nov 1, 2026

↑ $770 leads at 59.5%, ahead of ↓ $760 (52.5%) and ↓ $750 (49.5%).

24h volume: $1.2K
Total volume: $191.9K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Source: Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 29Chance24h

↑ $770$122 vol59.5%+1.0

↓ $76052.5%-

↓ $750$28.7K vol49.5%−2.0

↑ $780$7.7K vol22.9%+3.1

↓ $740$23.3K vol21.0%−1.5

↑ $790$23.4K vol7.5%+1.5

↓ $730$14.3K vol7.5%−1.0

↓ $720$9.8K vol5.3%−0.6

↓ $710$12.1K vol4.1%+0.4

↑ $800$18.7K vol3.7%+0.3

↑ $810$12.0K vol3.5%−0.1

↑ $840$250 vol3.2%−0.1

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Market read

Who leads the What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026 market on Polymarket?

Polymarket traders give ↑ $770 a 60% chance, ahead of ↓ $760 at 53% and ↓ $750 at 50%. 29 outcomes are listed, 14 of them already resolved. ↑ $770 has risen from 51% on Oct 22 to 69% now. Over the last 24 hours it is up 1.0 point.

Where is the whale money going?

No single bet of $5,000 or more has been tracked on this market yet. $191.9K has been traded in total, $1.2K of it in the last 24 hours.