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Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?

ActiveWeather19 outcomesEnds Dec 8, 2026

Hawaii leads at 10.0%, ahead of Alabama (8.6%) and Louisiana (8.5%).

24h volume: $35
Total volume: $41.3K
Whales: 0
Fresh wallets: 0

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 19Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

1Hawaii$4.2K vol10.0%-Buy Yes 10.0¢Buy No 90.0¢

2Alabama$3.6K vol8.6%−1.3Buy Yes 8.6¢Buy No 91.3¢

3Louisiana$2.1K vol8.5%+1.0Buy Yes 8.5¢Buy No 91.5¢

4Texas$944 vol7.5%+0.5Buy Yes 7.5¢Buy No 92.5¢

5North Carolina$2.7K vol6.8%−0.1Buy Yes 6.8¢Buy No 93.2¢

6New Jersey$729 vol5.5%-Buy Yes 5.5¢Buy No 94.5¢

7South Carolina$1.2K vol5.1%−1.4Buy Yes 5.1¢Buy No 95.0¢

8Mississippi$1.1K vol4.0%-Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢

9Rhode Island$2.1K vol4.0%-Buy Yes 4.0¢Buy No 96.0¢

10Maryland$1.8K vol3.6%−0.1Buy Yes 3.6¢Buy No 96.3¢

11New York$2.2K vol3.4%-Buy Yes 3.4¢Buy No 96.7¢

12Virginia$2.0K vol3.2%-Buy Yes 3.2¢Buy No 96.8¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.