Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

ActiveMexico8 outcomesEnds Jan 1, 2027

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco leads at 27.5%, ahead of Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez (19.5%) and Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar (16.4%).

Outcome · 8Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco$62.3K vol27.5%−0.5Buy Yes 27.5¢Buy No 72.5¢

Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez$59.9K vol19.5%+3.5Buy Yes 19.5¢Buy No 80.5¢

Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar$10.0K vol16.4%−2.1Buy Yes 16.4¢Buy No 83.7¢

Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar$7.2K vol12.5%−4.5Buy Yes 12.5¢Buy No 87.5¢

Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan$5.4K vol11.8%−2.6Buy Yes 11.8¢Buy No 88.2¢

Juan Pablo Ledezma$2.1K vol11.5%−0.5Buy Yes 11.5¢Buy No 88.5¢

Juan Reyes Mejía González$36.8K vol7.5%+0.5Buy Yes 7.5¢Buy No 92.5¢

Audias Flores-Silva$5.9K vol · resolved100.0%+23.0

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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