Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

ActiveSenate2 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

Democratic Party leads at 64.5%, ahead of Republican Party (36.5%).

24h volume: $250.4K
Total volume: $6.8M
Whales: 41
Fresh wallets: 13

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 2Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

Democratic Party$4.0M vol64.5%+1.0Buy Yes 64.5¢Buy No 35.5¢

Republican Party$2.9M vol36.5%-Buy Yes 36.5¢Buy No 63.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@realpol1Fresh3h ago

$984 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 1,513
Profit if right: $530

@GonzillamemesFresh4h ago

$32,799 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 50,461
Profit if right: $17,661

@dyavolikFresh9h ago

$2,125 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 3,269
Profit if right: $1,144

@ParliamentWhale18h ago

$7,000 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 18,642
Profit if right: $11,642

0x10b3…40d4Whale21h ago

$18,000 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.36
Shares: 50,000
Profit if right: $32,000

@bifurcatioWhale21h ago

$47,676 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 74,494
Profit if right: $26,818

@f0afjrWhale1d ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 13,333
Profit if right: $8,333

@shama1024Fresh1d ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 7,813
Profit if right: $2,813

@alexhamiltonWhale1d ago

$6,614 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.36
Shares: 18,374
Profit if right: $11,759

@midtermsWhale2d ago

$14,840 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 23,556
Profit if right: $8,716

@midtermsFresh2d ago

$1,600 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 2,500
Profit if right: $900

@ClauseAIWhale2d ago

$5,550 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.37
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $9,450

@paddaaWhale3d ago

$6,000 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 9,375
Profit if right: $3,375

0x270b…7906Whale5d ago

$10,000 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 15,625
Profit if right: $5,625

@jumpingjehoshaphatFresh7d ago

$519 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 824
Profit if right: $305

@jumpingjehoshaphatFresh7d ago

$1,497 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 2,376
Profit if right: $879

@jumpingjehoshaphatFresh7d ago

$1,000 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 1,587
Profit if right: $587

@jumpingjehoshaphatFresh7d ago

$1,000 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 1,587
Profit if right: $587

@jumpingjehoshaphatFresh7d ago

$700 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 1,111
Profit if right: $411

@jumpingjehoshaphatFresh7d ago

$1,000 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 1,587
Profit if right: $587

@Siddhartha1Whale7d ago

$7,111 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 11,111
Profit if right: $4,000

@yexiaodong333Whale7d ago

$5,512 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.36
Shares: 15,312
Profit if right: $9,799

@Siddhartha1Whale7d ago

$9,799 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 15,312
Profit if right: $5,512

@freshsocketFresh7d ago

$2,033 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 3,227
Profit if right: $1,194

@Siddhartha1Whale7d ago

$8,602 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 13,441
Profit if right: $4,839

@Siddhartha1Whale7d ago

$8,403 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 13,129
Profit if right: $4,727

@Monopoly_MoneyWhale7d ago

$32,130 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 51,000
Profit if right: $18,870

@bullishkirbyWhale7d ago

$22,307 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.37
Shares: 60,288
Profit if right: $37,981

@freshsocketFresh8d ago

$2,292 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 3,582
Profit if right: $1,289

@freshsocketFresh8d ago

$2,689 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 4,202
Profit if right: $1,513

0x10b3…40d4Whale8d ago

$7,713 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.36
Shares: 21,426
Profit if right: $13,713

@Siddhartha1Whale10d ago

$5,333 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 8,333
Profit if right: $3,000

@Siddhartha1Whale10d ago

$6,950 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 10,860
Profit if right: $3,909

@Andylow5Whale10d ago

$5,101 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.36
Shares: 14,265
Profit if right: $9,164

@bullishkirbyWhale11d ago

$5,495 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.33
Shares: 16,651
Profit if right: $11,156

@koprasmartonFresh11d ago

$984 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.68
Shares: 1,447
Profit if right: $463

@cocos228Whale11d ago

$7,862 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.67
Shares: 11,735
Profit if right: $3,872

@cocos228Whale11d ago

$13,345 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.67
Shares: 19,918
Profit if right: $6,573

@TeamAWhale12d ago

$12,905 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 19,853
Profit if right: $6,949

@flawfenceWhale12d ago

$6,651 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.35
Shares: 19,003
Profit if right: $12,352

@TeamAWhale12d ago

$22,456 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 34,548
Profit if right: $12,092

@totembitFresh13d ago

$4,027 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 6,195
Profit if right: $2,168

@nullriddleFresh13d ago

$11,449 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 17,613
Profit if right: $6,165

@foodenjoyerWhale13d ago

$6,165 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.35
Shares: 17,613
Profit if right: $11,449

@dataportFresh13d ago

$4,044 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 6,221
Profit if right: $2,177

@neongraphFresh13d ago

$3,265 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 5,024
Profit if right: $1,758

@AnjunWhale14d ago

$6,481 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 10,288
Profit if right: $3,806

@Siddhartha1Whale14d ago

$10,293 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.64
Shares: 16,082
Profit if right: $5,790

@foodenjoyerWhale15d ago

$47,001 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 74,605
Profit if right: $27,604

@lomneivanWhale15d ago

$18,130 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.37
Shares: 49,000
Profit if right: $30,870

@KrangWhale15d ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 13,158
Profit if right: $8,158

@BreakTheBankWhale15d ago

$8,158 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 13,158
Profit if right: $5,000

@yexiaodong333Whale15d ago

$10,545 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 27,750
Profit if right: $17,205

@ClauseAIWhale18d ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 13,158
Profit if right: $8,158

@pantomimeWhale18d ago

$9,208 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 14,852
Profit if right: $5,644

@pyoiWhale18d ago

$9,909 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 26,077
Profit if right: $16,168

@George.SmileyWhale19d ago

$6,300 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $3,700

0xf254…7770Fresh19d ago

$561 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 1,476
Profit if right: $915

@XAE12ArchangelWhale22d ago

$5,287 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 8,393
Profit if right: $3,105

@yuahldjWhale22d ago

$7,191 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 11,599
Profit if right: $4,408

@sdhykyWhale22d ago

$12,600 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $7,400

@tetroseWhale22d ago

$14,637 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.35
Shares: 41,819
Profit if right: $27,182

@Voland6777Whale22d ago

$5,655 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 8,700
Profit if right: $3,045

@pantomimeWhale22d ago

$7,071 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.35
Shares: 20,203
Profit if right: $13,132

@lomneivanWhale22d ago

$5,253 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.34
Shares: 15,451
Profit if right: $10,198

@JapanWhale23d ago

$5,000 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.66
Shares: 7,576
Profit if right: $2,576

@purplegattoWhale24d ago

$13,658 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.65
Shares: 21,071
Profit if right: $7,413

@timetowanderWhale25d ago

$12,379 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 19,966
Profit if right: $7,587

@lomneivanWhale25d ago

$5,520 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 14,527
Profit if right: $9,007

@hell0piaWhale25d ago

$16,380 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.63
Shares: 26,000
Profit if right: $9,620

@timetowanderWhale25d ago

$7,400 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.37
Shares: 20,000
Profit if right: $12,600

@timetowanderWhale25d ago

$5,700 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.38
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $9,300

@yuahldjWhale25d ago

$11,029 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.62
Shares: 17,789
Profit if right: $6,760

@timetowanderWhale25d ago

$6,974 buying No on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 11,432
Profit if right: $4,459

@cocos228Whale25d ago

$9,239 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.61
Shares: 15,146
Profit if right: $5,907

@lomneivanWhale26d ago

$9,750 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.39
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $15,250

@hell0piaWhale27d ago

$13,033 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.60
Shares: 21,722
Profit if right: $8,689

@lomneivanWhale27d ago

$7,540 buying No on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.40
Shares: 18,849
Profit if right: $11,309

@pyoiWhale28d ago

$6,954 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.42
Shares: 16,558
Profit if right: $9,604

@mnuop8890Whale28d ago

$5,375 buying Yes on Republican Party

Bought at: $0.41
Shares: 13,109
Profit if right: $7,734

0xe234…304aWhale29d ago

$7,088 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.59
Shares: 12,014
Profit if right: $4,926

@mombilWhale29d ago

$5,998 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.59
Shares: 10,167
Profit if right: $4,168

@cryptoh01der7Whale30d ago

$5,476 buying Yes on Democratic Party

Bought at: $0.58
Shares: 9,442
Profit if right: $3,966

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