What are the current odds for "Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?"?

YES is currently trading at 0.1% on Polymarket. NO is at 99.9%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Jun 30, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $65.67M. Last 24h: $891.0K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $66.6K by BrightStars entered at 100%. 29 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActiveIranResolves Jun 30, 2026

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating t…

YES

0.1%

99.9%

Volume

$65.67M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

29 tracked

1
@BrightStars
No@ 99.9%·1d ago
$66.6K
66,666 shares
2
Bite-Sized-Princess
No@ 99.9%·1d ago
$50.0K
50,000 shares
3
@elmcap2
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$45.4K
45,500 shares
4
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·2d ago
$35.2K
35,297 shares
5
@danielleggerman
No@ 99.8%·3d ago
$33.9K
33,941 shares
6
@Qtyu
No@ 99.8%·3d ago
$31.8K
31,850 shares
7
@cooler-
No@ 99.7%·3d ago
$31.4K
31,500 shares
8
@notsosure6
No@ 99.8%·1d ago
$29.9K
30,000 shares
9
@DonationsReceiver
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$29.9K
30,000 shares
10
@okcoolstorybro
No@ 99.8%·4d ago
$27.2K
27,217 shares
11
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·1d ago
$26.6K
26,689 shares
12
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·1d ago
$21.0K
21,017 shares
13
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·2d ago
$20.0K
20,000 shares
14
@JamesBonder007
No@ 99.8%·1d ago
$20.0K
20,000 shares
15
@danielleggerman
No@ 99.8%·3d ago
$17.5K
17,559 shares
16
@elmcap2
No@ 99.7%·1d ago
$15.9K
15,919 shares
17
@notsosure6
No@ 99.8%·21h ago
$15.0K
15,000 shares
18
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·2d ago
$12.6K
12,611 shares
19
@cooler-
No@ 99.7%·3d ago
$11.8K
11,872 shares
20
@elmcap2
No@ 99.7%·4d ago
$11.2K
11,200 shares
21
@elmcap2
No@ 99.8%·2d ago
$10.0K
10,000 shares
22
@notsosure6
No@ 99.8%·1d ago
$10.0K
10,000 shares
23
@JamesBonder007
No@ 99.7%·2d ago
$10.0K
10,000 shares
24
@elmcap2
No@ 99.7%·4d ago
$10.0K
9,990 shares
25
@Qtyu
No@ 99.8%·3d ago
$9.7K
9,727 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@luiloij
No@ 99.9%·1h ago
$70
@GollumGekko
No@ 99.9%·2h ago
$5.0K
@Dualtrol
No@ 99.9%·2h ago
$141
@nedsta
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$10.0K
0x7867…2da3
Yes@ 0.1%·3h ago
$1
Understated-Tenth
Yes@ 0.1%·3h ago
$1
Impossible-Pumpernickel
Yes@ 0.1%·3h ago
$1
@toujoursenretar
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$29
@helloworld07
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$21
@jordan0073444
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$21
@Jordannnnnnn
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$19
@lechefenchef
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$26
@safestrat
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$25
@number777
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$20
@lanadelreyyy
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$29
@Wuazz
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$16
@cathy077
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$29
@computer1
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$19
@number11-
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$21
@lemondechico07
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$20
@letradooor
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$26
@mouaispasmal
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$20
@newstrat
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$21
@jordannnnnnnn
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$19
@compteeeee6
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$20

About this market

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Iran category, resolving on Jun 30, 2026. Current odds put YES at 0.1% and NO at 99.9%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 29 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $66.6K on a total market volume of $65.67M. Last 24-hour volume: $891.0K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →