Fed Decision in January?

ActiveFed5 outcomesEnds Jan 28, 2027

No change leads at 62.0%, ahead of 25 bps increase (36.0%) and 25 bps decrease (1.5%).

Outcome · 5Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

No change$131.0K vol62.0%+4.5Buy Yes 62.0¢Buy No 38.0¢

25 bps increase$177.0K vol36.0%+0.5Buy Yes 36.0¢Buy No 64.0¢

25 bps decrease$86.0K vol1.5%−0.3Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢

50+ bps increase$61.2K vol1.2%−0.1Buy Yes 1.2¢Buy No 98.8¢

50+ bps decrease$93.8K vol0.55%-Buy Yes 0.5¢Buy No 99.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

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