NATO x Russia military clash by...?

ActiveNATO6 outcomesEnds Jan 3, 2027

December 31 leads at 24.0%, ahead of October 31 (6.5%).

24h volume: $18.2K
Total volume: $9.1M
Whales: 19
Fresh wallets: 5

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 6Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

December 31$2.7M vol24.0%−1.5Buy Yes 24.0¢Buy No 76.0¢

October 31$1.8M vol6.5%+1.0Buy Yes 6.5¢Buy No 93.5¢

December 31, 2025$630.3K vol · resolved0.0%−0.1

August 31$2.1M vol · resolved0.0%−0.4

March 31$539.4K vol · resolved0.0%−0.4

June 30$1.2M vol · resolved0.0%−0.4

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

0xdea2…e981Whale2d ago

$23,000 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 25,000
Profit if right: $2,000

@LlamaLoco0000Whale2d ago

$5,331 buying Yes on December 31

Bought at: $0.27
Shares: 19,422
Profit if right: $14,090

@trx1Whale3d ago

$6,971 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 7,496
Profit if right: $525

@SlenderManWhale4d ago

$5,320 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.76
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $1,680

@LlamaLoco0000Whale4d ago

$10,701 buying Yes on December 31

Bought at: $0.22
Shares: 48,640
Profit if right: $37,939

@SlenderManWhale4d ago

$27,300 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.78
Shares: 35,000
Profit if right: $7,700

0xaca0…7f9cWhale5d ago

$5,025 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.94
Shares: 5,346
Profit if right: $321

@samemmaWhale5d ago

$5,337 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.93
Shares: 5,738
Profit if right: $402

@samemmaWhale8d ago

$8,572 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.79
Shares: 10,850
Profit if right: $2,279

@samemmaWhale8d ago

$5,951 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.78
Shares: 7,630
Profit if right: $1,679

@VulgataFresh10d ago

$4,339 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 4,716
Profit if right: $377

@onrdFresh10d ago

$1,308 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.79
Shares: 1,656
Profit if right: $348

@dwarf123Whale13d ago

$5,000 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.90
Shares: 5,556
Profit if right: $556

@SlenderManWhale16d ago

$9,878 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.86
Shares: 11,486
Profit if right: $1,608

@NewChappWhale17d ago

$5,654 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.87
Shares: 6,499
Profit if right: $845

@RolandDrumpWhale20d ago

$5,040 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $960

@SDTradingWhale21d ago

$13,333 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.70
Shares: 19,048
Profit if right: $5,714

@testlox6Fresh22d ago

$2,890 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.84
Shares: 3,440
Profit if right: $550

@InterestingUserWhale23d ago

$12,000 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.80
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $3,000

@Enron2.0Fresh24d ago

$2,500 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.80
Shares: 3,125
Profit if right: $625

@tribebetFresh24d ago

$5,000 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.80
Shares: 6,250
Profit if right: $1,250

0x49f2…d7b4Whale24d ago

$5,988 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.77
Shares: 7,777
Profit if right: $1,789

@tetroseWhale24d ago

$5,612 buying Yes on December 31

Bought at: $0.33
Shares: 16,822
Profit if right: $11,210

0x49f2…d7b4Whale24d ago

$5,133 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.66
Shares: 7,777
Profit if right: $2,644

@dwarf123Whale25d ago

$12,700 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.81
Shares: 15,665
Profit if right: $2,965

@tetroseWhale25d ago

$10,113 buying Yes on December 31

Bought at: $0.29
Shares: 34,280
Profit if right: $24,167

@sbimbgWhale25d ago

$8,498 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.71
Shares: 11,969
Profit if right: $3,471

@0xwordjnnWhale25d ago

$6,495 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.70
Shares: 9,278
Profit if right: $2,784

@0xwordjnnWhale25d ago

$6,832 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.80
Shares: 8,540
Profit if right: $1,708

@SlenderManWhale25d ago

$32,014 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.81
Shares: 39,769
Profit if right: $7,755

@tetroseWhale25d ago

$11,541 buying Yes on October 31

Bought at: $0.20
Shares: 59,156
Profit if right: $47,614

@SlenderManWhale25d ago

$15,321 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.82
Shares: 18,684
Profit if right: $3,363

@SlenderManWhale25d ago

$15,987 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 19,261
Profit if right: $3,274

@sbimbgWhale25d ago

$15,919 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.71
Shares: 22,422
Profit if right: $6,502

@SlenderManWhale25d ago

$12,881 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.83
Shares: 15,519
Profit if right: $2,638

0x41e8…b994Whale26d ago

$5,299 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 6,234
Profit if right: $935

@Max3Whale27d ago

$5,000 buying No on October 31

Bought at: $0.85
Shares: 5,856
Profit if right: $856

@ppxtuWhale28d ago

$5,180 buying No on December 31

Bought at: $0.74
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $1,820

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