What are the current odds for "Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?"?

YES is currently trading at 9.5% on Polymarket. NO is at 90.5%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Dec 31, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $60.31M. Last 24h: $674.1K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $221.6K by 0xA2cd4CcdA9A1f95949DF7A3355C4c2DAa0642Ba0-1729178570395 entered at 99%. 50 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActiveCultureResolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:…

YES

9.5%

90.5%

Volume

$60.31M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

50 tracked

1
Scaly-Tracksuit
No@ 99.0%·4d ago
$221.6K
223,819 shares
2
@elmcap2
No@ 99.7%·1d ago
$79.8K
80,020 shares
3
@Tigerofthehood
No@ 98.7%·3d ago
$49.4K
50,000 shares
4
@videlake
No@ 99.3%·2d ago
$33.1K
33,333 shares
5
@Sundada1992
No@ 90.0%·1d ago
$31.8K
35,371 shares
6
Detailed-Poison
No@ 99.2%·4d ago
$29.8K
30,000 shares
7
Serene-Decision
No@ 99.2%·2d ago
$29.8K
29,992 shares
8
@videlake
No@ 98.9%·3d ago
$29.7K
30,000 shares
9
@videlake
No@ 99.9%·10h ago
$29.2K
29,185 shares
10
@thoodr
No@ 99.4%·4d ago
$26.4K
26,600 shares
11
@videlake
No@ 99.2%·2d ago
$25.1K
25,326 shares
12
@elmcap2
No@ 99.1%·4d ago
$24.8K
25,000 shares
13
@elmcap2
No@ 94.0%·3d ago
$23.5K
25,000 shares
14
@BBQ1991
No@ 90.0%·3d ago
$22.5K
25,000 shares
15
@world-changer
No@ 99.8%·1d ago
$22.2K
22,233 shares
16
@videlake
No@ 90.0%·1d ago
$20.0K
22,222 shares
17
@videlake
No@ 99.3%·4d ago
$19.9K
20,000 shares
18
Serene-Decision
No@ 99.3%·2d ago
$19.9K
20,000 shares
19
@videlake
No@ 99.3%·2d ago
$18.2K
18,346 shares
20
Upright-Snug
No@ 99.1%·2d ago
$17.7K
17,870 shares
21
Serene-Decision
No@ 99.2%·2d ago
$17.1K
17,241 shares
22
@videlake
No@ 99.3%·2d ago
$14.9K
15,000 shares
23
Upright-Snug
No@ 99.1%·4d ago
$14.7K
14,798 shares
24
@videlake
No@ 99.3%·4d ago
$14.2K
14,286 shares
25
@videlake
No@ 99.2%·2d ago
$13.9K
14,009 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

Difficult-Rhetoric
Yes@ 10.0%·45m ago
$92
@123mutouren
No@ 95.6%·51m ago
$724
@aprcxs2j
No@ 90.0%·52m ago
$32
@zj8b0oa0
No@ 95.5%·59m ago
$47
@nekogpt
No@ 95.6%·1h ago
$2
@judrrty
No@ 91.0%·1h ago
$558
@carllop
No@ 95.6%·1h ago
$547
@q790whki
No@ 95.6%·1h ago
$44
@nbnygu
No@ 99.8%·1h ago
$120
@Dolly22
Yes@ 10.0%·1h ago
$20
@askldfgjhadlskfj
Yes@ 10.0%·1h ago
$40
@askldfgjhadlskfj
Yes@ 0.1%·1h ago
$5
@bradity
No@ 95.6%·1h ago
$683
Authentic-Flexibility
Yes@ 4.5%·2h ago
$10
Authentic-Flexibility
Yes@ 10.0%·2h ago
$16
@measuresi
No@ 90.0%·2h ago
$94
@usdoall
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$22
@lion449
No@ 90.0%·3h ago
$1.1K
@CHILESHE
Yes@ 10.0%·3h ago
$1
@2022phoenix
No@ 99.8%·3h ago
$73
@2022phoenix
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$24
@52g9189r
No@ 95.6%·3h ago
$47
@2022phoenix
No@ 99.9%·3h ago
$21
@peter239784
Yes@ 0.1%·4h ago
$6
@2022phoenix
No@ 99.9%·4h ago
$28

About this market

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Culture category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 9.5% and NO at 90.5%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 50 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $221.6K on a total market volume of $60.31M. Last 24-hour volume: $674.1K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →