Polymarket Geopolitics Odds – Page 5

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Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No97%Israel x Iran00$0$248.9KJan 1, 27US imports Russian diesel by...?November 3031%2 outcomes01$22.3K$248.9KDec 1, 26Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by...?October 318%5 outcomes00$22$237.9KNov 1, 26Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?December 3114%6 outcomes00$30$236.1KJan 1, 27Yoon out of custody before 2027?No95%Politics00$64$231.0KJan 1, 27Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?December 3133%4 outcomes10$12.0K$230.6KJan 1, 27Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No88%China00$108$226.1KJan 1, 27Next Secretary-General of the United NationsRebeca Grynspan50%8 outcomes00$625$225.8KJul 1, 27US x China Military clash before 2027?No97%Geopolitics00$297$219.1KJan 1, 27Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?No96%Politics00$17$215.2KJan 1, 27Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?September 2680%13 outcomes43$558$214.7KSep 30, 26Who will Trump speak to by October 31?Friedrich Merz96%22 outcomes23$715$213.5KNov 1, 26Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?October 311%4 outcomes00$0$210.2KOct 1, 26Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?December 3132%6 outcomes00$234$209.7KJan 1, 27Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?December 3120%5 outcomes00$20$208.4KJan 1, 27Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?No79%Politics00$24.0K$202.7KJan 1, 27Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?October 311%4 outcomes00$0$200.9KOct 1, 26Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?December 312%4 outcomes00$0$200.8KJan 1, 27Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No97%World00$13$198.4KJan 1, 27Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No92%OPEC00$8$198.1KDec 31, 26Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No98%Israel00$0$195.4KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by...?December 3119%3 outcomes00$73$193.1KJan 1, 27US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No96%Politics00$0$191.8KJan 1, 27Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?Ricardo Ruiz Velasco28%8 outcomes00$89$189.7KJan 1, 27U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No96%Gaza00$0$186.4KJan 1, 27Another NATO article 4 by...?December 3132%3 outcomes00$140$183.8KJan 1, 27Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?September 2193%13 outcomes52$366$183.6KSep 30, 26EU dissolves before 2027?No98%Politics00$1.8K$183.0KJan 1, 27U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?No97%Maria Machado00$0$180.0KJan 1, 27US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No97%Politics00$637$178.1KJan 1, 27Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?No meeting by December 31, 202783%29 outcomes11$1.6K$175.7KJan 1, 28Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes91%Politics00$11$173.3KJan 1, 27Ukraine coup attempt by...?December 31, 202722%3 outcomes00$0$172.8KJan 1, 28Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by...?December 3116%2 outcomes00$0$170.7KJan 1, 27Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?No98%Politics00$1.1K$170.4KJan 1, 27Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No97%Argentina00$8$167.5KJan 1, 27Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No95%NATO00$15$167.4KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Kupiansk by...?December 318%2 outcomes00$0$166.3KJan 1, 27Will Trump visit North Korea by...?December 317%2 outcomes00$8$165.1KJan 1, 27China coup attempt by...?December 31, 202719%2 outcomes00$771$164.3KJan 1, 28Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?No96%Politics00$2$163.7KJan 1, 27Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?No Meeting by December 3163%19 outcomes00$4.1K$163.3KDec 31, 26Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No97%Middle East00$0$161.0KJan 1, 27Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election WinnerPlatforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné”15%6 outcomes00$8$161.0KNov 24, 25Israel military action against Lebanon on...?October 2892%30 outcomes22$13.8K$158.4KNov 1, 26Will US annex any territory in 2026?No96%World00$0$157.7KJan 1, 27Israel military action against Syria by...?Heating upNovember 3030%5 outcomes42$36.3K$156.9KNov 30, 26Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?No97%Politics00$97$154.8KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Vodianske by...?December 3130%2 outcomes00$118$153.4KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?October 312%2 outcomes00$2.0K$152.6KNov 1, 26