Polymarket Geopolitics Odds – Page 6

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Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No95%Ukraine00$1$152.2KJan 1, 27Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?December 3111%8 outcomes00$25$150.9KOct 1, 26Russia coup attempt by...?December 31, 202713%2 outcomes00$620$148.9KJan 1, 28Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?No92%Russia00$110$148.3KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by...?December 3124%2 outcomes00$5$147.0KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?December 3133%5 outcomes10$0$146.4KJan 1, 27Will Iran target Qatar by...?October 313%4 outcomes00$0$146.2KOct 31, 26Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?December 3127%5 outcomes00$0$145.3KDec 31, 26Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?December 312%5 outcomes00$100$144.7KJan 1, 27Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?October 317%3 outcomes21$0$144.3KNov 1, 26Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?December 3111%2 outcomes00$0$143.1KJan 1, 27Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by...?December 313%3 outcomes00$2$139.7KJan 1, 27Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?December 3113%2 outcomes00$99$138.5KJan 1, 27Houthis successfully target shipping by...?October 3113%8 outcomes32$1.8K$134.8KOct 31, 26Will Russia capture Stavky by...?December 319%3 outcomes00$0$133.5KJan 1, 27Maduro guilty of all counts?No67%Courts00$1$133.2KJan 1, 28How many people will Trump deport in 2026?400-500k59%10 outcomes00$40$130.6KMar 1, 27Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?Heating upNo99%Iran00$19.1K$130.3KNov 1, 26Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?December 316%3 outcomes00$0$128.3KJan 1, 27Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by...?December 316%2 outcomes00$1.9K$128.1KJan 1, 27Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Xiaomi21%4 outcomes00$99$126.3KJul 1, 27Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?No96%Politics00$606$126.3KJan 1, 27Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?Heating upNo Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%4 outcomes10$27.2K$126.2KNov 4, 26Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?November 3056%3 outcomes00$7.5K$125.6KNov 30, 26NATO dissolves before 2027?No99%NATO00$0$125.1KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?December 3159%2 outcomes00$5.3K$124.2KJan 1, 27Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No96%Trump-Machado00$7.8K$123.6KJan 1, 27Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?September 2222%13 outcomes21$137$122.5KSep 30, 26UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No95%Geopolitics00$0$121.8KDec 31, 26U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?December 314%2 outcomes00$0$120.7KJan 1, 27Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?December 3116%2 outcomes00$58$120.3KJan 1, 27Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No96%Iran00$0$119.9KJan 1, 27Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?December 31, 202612%4 outcomes00$0$119.6KJan 1, 27Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?December 315%5 outcomes00$0$118.0KJan 1, 27Will Russia enter Moskovka by...?October 3116%6 outcomes00$22$117.5KNov 1, 26Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?December 31, 202620%5 outcomes01$1.5K$117.4KJul 1, 27Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by...?December 3111%4 outcomes00$0$116.6KOct 1, 26Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?October 599%31 outcomes62$687$115.7KNov 1, 26Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by...?December 3126%4 outcomes00$0$114.6KJan 1, 27Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?Heating upSaudi Arabia16%10 outcomes00$20.6K$107.4KJan 1, 27Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?No96%Politics00$92$106.9KJan 1, 27Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?December 3110%5 outcomes00$15$106.2KJan 1, 27Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No94%Ukraine00$85$104.8KJan 1, 27Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?No96%UAE00$0$102.5KDec 31, 26Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by...?December 3121%4 outcomes00$0$99.7KJan 1, 27Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?October 311%4 outcomes00$0$99.6KOct 1, 26Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?November 3031%5 outcomes00$1.6K$99.5KNov 30, 26Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?December 3112%2 outcomes22$2.1K$99.3KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Novodmytrivka by...?December 3114%3 outcomes00$0$96.9KJan 1, 27Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by...?December 3117%5 outcomes00$0$96.4KJan 1, 27