Polymarket Geopolitics Odds – Page 7

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Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?October 3111%2 outcomes00$132$95.5KNov 1, 26US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?December 3120%2 outcomes00$0$94.6KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Myropillia by...?December 3117%3 outcomes00$0$93.7KJan 1, 27Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No96%Israel00$30$92.4KJan 1, 27Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by...?December 3119%3 outcomes00$0$91.2KJan 1, 27Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?December 3115%3 outcomes00$1.2K$88.2KJan 1, 27Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?December 3116%3 outcomes00$20$87.6KDec 31, 26Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?No96%Geopolitics00$0$87.2KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Serhiivka by...?December 3111%4 outcomes00$0$86.7KJan 1, 27Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by...?December 3134%5 outcomes00$106$83.1KJan 1, 27Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?Egypt11%16 outcomes00$959$80.8KJan 1, 27US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?No97%Greenland00$1$80.4KJan 1, 27Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No98%Politics00$2$79.6KJan 1, 27Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No91%Politics00$0$77.6KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?March 31, 202764%5 outcomes00$8.9K$77.4KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?December 3118%6 outcomes00$0$76.6KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Svitle by...?October 3118%2 outcomes00$1.2K$75.5KNov 1, 26U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No97%Russia00$0$75.1KJan 1, 27Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?October 311%4 outcomes00$0$73.8KOct 1, 26Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?Heating upNo Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate58%4 outcomes00$21.2K$72.2KNov 4, 26Will Russia enter Stavky by...?December 3114%3 outcomes00$0$71.2KJan 1, 27Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No95%Politics00$0$71.0KJan 1, 27Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?No96%Trump00$36$70.4KJan 1, 27Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?No Next Minister by Feb 2833%15 outcomes00$5.9K$69.7KMar 1, 27Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by...?December 315%2 outcomes00$0$66.1KJan 1, 27Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?December 3130%4 outcomes00$756$65.4KJan 1, 27Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate33%2 outcomes00$4.3K$65.1KNov 4, 26Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?December 3116%2 outcomes03$0$64.8KJan 1, 27US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?No94%AI00$59$63.6KJan 1, 27Will NATO countries clash with each other by...?December 31, 202717%2 outcomes00$0$63.5KJan 1, 28Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by...?December 3121%2 outcomes00$113$62.9KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Dobropillia by...?December 3116%2 outcomes00$1.5K$62.4KJan 1, 27Assimi Goïta out as President of Mali by...?June 3024%2 outcomes21$0$62.0KJul 1, 27Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?December 3113%3 outcomes00$282$60.2KJan 1, 27Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?December 319%3 outcomes01$190$58.5KDec 31, 26Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?October 312%4 outcomes00$0$56.5KOct 1, 26Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No82%Israel x Iran00$39$56.1KDec 31, 26Who will Trump meet with by October 31?Sam Altman33%17 outcomes00$632$56.0KNov 1, 26Next Israeli Minister of National Security?Heating upNo Next Minister by Feb 2837%18 outcomes00$9.9K$54.7KMar 1, 27Will Russia capture Borova by December 31, 2026?No93%Ukraine Map00$0$54.7KJan 1, 27Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?December 3110%4 outcomes00$0$54.3KJan 1, 27Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No97%Russia00$8$53.9KJan 1, 27Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No93%Politics00$704$53.9KJan 1, 27US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?December 3138%3 outcomes00$12$53.8KJan 1, 27Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?US28%8 outcomes02$68$51.3KJan 1, 27Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?No98%Politics00$0$50.7KJan 1, 27Next Israeli Minister of Justice?No Next Minister by Feb 2836%11 outcomes00$76$50.6KMar 1, 27Next Israeli Minister of Defense?Heating upNo Next Minister by Feb 2837%18 outcomes00$8.7K$50.1KMar 1, 27Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by...?October 3114%3 outcomes00$29$48.5KNov 1, 26Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?25-2955%5 outcomes00$3.1K$47.2KNov 1, 26