Polymarket Geopolitics Odds – Page 8

Market
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?October 297%31 outcomes10$1.4K$46.9KNov 1, 26Next Israeli Minister of Finance?No Next Minister by Feb 2835%16 outcomes00$1.1K$46.7KMar 1, 27Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?June 30, 202730%2 outcomes00$0$46.4KJul 1, 27Will Iran target Oman by...?November 308%5 outcomes00$117$45.4KNov 30, 26Will Iran target Syria by...?October 313%4 outcomes00$0$45.0KOct 31, 26Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?No95%Europe00$21$44.8KJan 1, 27U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?No96%Geopolitics00$0$42.7KJan 1, 27OPEC dissolves in 2026?No99%Politics00$10$42.5KJan 1, 27USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?December 3181%3 outcomes11$985$41.9KJan 1, 27Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)October 3114%4 outcomes00$680$40.6KJan 1, 27Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by...?December 3112%2 outcomes00$1.3K$40.4KJan 1, 27US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?No91%Nuclear00$5$40.4KJan 1, 27US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?October 319%4 outcomes00$24$38.9KNov 1, 26Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?No87%World00$10$38.4KJan 1, 27Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?December 3117%2 outcomes00$3.0K$37.8KJan 1, 27Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?No93%World10$1.9K$37.5KJan 1, 27Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?December 3111%4 outcomes00$0$36.5KJan 1, 27Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?4+71%5 outcomes00$515$36.1KNov 1, 26Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?UAE33%29 outcomes00$464$34.3KJan 1, 28Prime Minister of Australia after next election?Anthony Albanese43%6 outcomes00$216$34.0KSep 24, 28Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No81%Iran00$0$33.5KDec 31, 26Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?No94%Geopolitics00$0$32.7KJan 1, 27Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?No73%Iran00$10$32.2KDec 31, 26Will Iran target Egypt by...?October 312%4 outcomes00$0$31.6KOct 31, 26Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?November 305%2 outcomes00$332$27.9KDec 1, 26Modi out by June 30, 2027?No84%India01$30$26.5KJul 1, 27Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Yes86%China00$1.3K$26.4KJan 1, 27Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?Heating up0-591%7 outcomes00$3.1K$25.0KNov 1, 26Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?December 3182%3 outcomes00$1.3K$24.9KDec 31, 26Will Iran target Kuwait by...?October 3113%4 outcomes10$209$24.4KSep 30, 26Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?No99%World00$0$23.7KNov 1, 26Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)October 316%7 outcomes00$1.0K$23.3KSep 30, 26Greenland snap election called by December 31?No95%Politics00$0$22.1KJan 1, 27Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?No95%Politics00$0$21.4KJan 1, 27Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?22-2339%7 outcomes00$328$19.7KOct 27, 26Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Heating upNo76%Iran00$2.7K$19.6KJan 1, 28Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?November 3056%4 outcomes01$1.8K$19.3KNov 30, 26Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?No91%Politics00$0$18.7KJan 1, 27NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?No96%NATO00$2$18.7KJan 1, 27Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?December 315%2 outcomes00$0$18.2KJan 1, 27Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?October 3111%2 outcomes02$0$17.0KOct 31, 26Will Iran target Jordan by...?October 3113%2 outcomes00$1.5K$16.8KOct 31, 26Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?No84%Iran00$0$16.7KJul 1, 27Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms9%16 outcomes00$264$16.4KApr 1, 28Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?December 3114%2 outcomes00$25$15.4KJan 1, 27China ballistic missile launch by December 31?No78%China00$1.0K$15.3KJan 1, 27Next Israeli Minister of Interior?No Next Minister by Feb 2837%18 outcomes00$147$15.2KMar 1, 270 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?December 3112%2 outcomes00$0$14.8KJan 1, 27Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?October 312%2 outcomes00$765$14.6KNov 1, 26Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?7-875%4 outcomes00$90$14.1KOct 27, 26