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Polymarket Geopolitics Odds – Page 8
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Politics
Elections
Geopolitics
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Soccer
NBA
NFL
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24h volume
Total
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Ends
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
October 2
97%
31 outcomes
1
0
$1.4K
$46.9K
Nov 1, 26
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
No Next Minister by Feb 28
35%
16 outcomes
0
0
$1.1K
$46.7K
Mar 1, 27
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
June 30, 2027
30%
2 outcomes
0
0
$0
$46.4K
Jul 1, 27
Will Iran target Oman by...?
November 30
8%
5 outcomes
0
0
$117
$45.4K
Nov 30, 26
Will Iran target Syria by...?
October 31
3%
4 outcomes
0
0
$0
$45.0K
Oct 31, 26
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
No
95%
Europe
0
0
$21
$44.8K
Jan 1, 27
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
No
96%
Geopolitics
0
0
$0
$42.7K
Jan 1, 27
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
No
99%
Politics
0
0
$10
$42.5K
Jan 1, 27
USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?
December 31
81%
3 outcomes
1
1
$985
$41.9K
Jan 1, 27
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
October 31
14%
4 outcomes
0
0
$680
$40.6K
Jan 1, 27
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by...?
December 31
12%
2 outcomes
0
0
$1.3K
$40.4K
Jan 1, 27
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?
No
91%
Nuclear
0
0
$5
$40.4K
Jan 1, 27
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
October 31
9%
4 outcomes
0
0
$24
$38.9K
Nov 1, 26
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?
No
87%
World
0
0
$10
$38.4K
Jan 1, 27
Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
December 31
17%
2 outcomes
0
0
$3.0K
$37.8K
Jan 1, 27
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?
No
93%
World
1
0
$1.9K
$37.5K
Jan 1, 27
Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by...?
December 31
11%
4 outcomes
0
0
$0
$36.5K
Jan 1, 27
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
4+
71%
5 outcomes
0
0
$515
$36.1K
Nov 1, 26
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?
UAE
33%
29 outcomes
0
0
$464
$34.3K
Jan 1, 28
Prime Minister of Australia after next election?
Anthony Albanese
43%
6 outcomes
0
0
$216
$34.0K
Sep 24, 28
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
No
81%
Iran
0
0
$0
$33.5K
Dec 31, 26
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
No
94%
Geopolitics
0
0
$0
$32.7K
Jan 1, 27
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
No
73%
Iran
0
0
$10
$32.2K
Dec 31, 26
Will Iran target Egypt by...?
October 31
2%
4 outcomes
0
0
$0
$31.6K
Oct 31, 26
Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?
November 30
5%
2 outcomes
0
0
$332
$27.9K
Dec 1, 26
Modi out by June 30, 2027?
No
84%
India
0
1
$30
$26.5K
Jul 1, 27
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
Yes
86%
China
0
0
$1.3K
$26.4K
Jan 1, 27
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?
Heating up
0-5
91%
7 outcomes
0
0
$3.1K
$25.0K
Nov 1, 26
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka again by...?
December 31
82%
3 outcomes
0
0
$1.3K
$24.9K
Dec 31, 26
Will Iran target Kuwait by...?
October 31
13%
4 outcomes
1
0
$209
$24.4K
Sep 30, 26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
No
99%
World
0
0
$0
$23.7K
Nov 1, 26
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
October 31
6%
7 outcomes
0
0
$1.0K
$23.3K
Sep 30, 26
Greenland snap election called by December 31?
No
95%
Politics
0
0
$0
$22.1K
Jan 1, 27
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
No
95%
Politics
0
0
$0
$21.4K
Jan 1, 27
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
22-23
39%
7 outcomes
0
0
$328
$19.7K
Oct 27, 26
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?
Heating up
No
76%
Iran
0
0
$2.7K
$19.6K
Jan 1, 28
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
November 30
56%
4 outcomes
0
1
$1.8K
$19.3K
Nov 30, 26
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
No
91%
Politics
0
0
$0
$18.7K
Jan 1, 27
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?
No
96%
NATO
0
0
$2
$18.7K
Jan 1, 27
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by...?
December 31
5%
2 outcomes
0
0
$0
$18.2K
Jan 1, 27
Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?
October 31
11%
2 outcomes
0
2
$0
$17.0K
Oct 31, 26
Will Iran target Jordan by...?
October 31
13%
2 outcomes
0
0
$1.5K
$16.8K
Oct 31, 26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?
No
84%
Iran
0
0
$0
$16.7K
Jul 1, 27
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
9%
16 outcomes
0
0
$264
$16.4K
Apr 1, 28
Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?
December 31
14%
2 outcomes
0
0
$25
$15.4K
Jan 1, 27
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
No
78%
China
0
0
$1.0K
$15.3K
Jan 1, 27
Next Israeli Minister of Interior?
No Next Minister by Feb 28
37%
18 outcomes
0
0
$147
$15.2K
Mar 1, 27
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by..?
December 31
12%
2 outcomes
0
0
$0
$14.8K
Jan 1, 27
Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?
October 31
2%
2 outcomes
0
0
$765
$14.6K
Nov 1, 26
Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?
7-8
75%
4 outcomes
0
0
$90
$14.1K
Oct 27, 26
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