What are the current odds for "Fed Decision in September?"?

YES is currently trading at 0.3% on Polymarket. NO is at 99.8%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Sep 16, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $41.91M. Last 24h: $3.05M.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $791.4K by TheReturnOfDarthMaul entered at 99%. 50 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActivefomcResolves Sep 16, 2026

Fed Decision in September?

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper…

YES

0.3%

99.8%

Volume

$41.91M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

50 tracked

1
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
No@ 98.9%·2h ago
$791.4K
800,000 shares
2
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
No@ 98.6%·1d ago
$197.3K
200,000 shares
3
@ThePrinceThatWasPromised
No@ 99.0%·2h ago
$79.2K
80,000 shares
4
@betwick
No@ 76.0%·3d ago
$60.8K
80,000 shares
5
@foodenjoyer
No@ 72.0%·22h ago
$56.7K
78,793 shares
6
@thanksmom
No@ 98.7%·1d ago
$51.3K
51,965 shares
7
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
No@ 98.5%·4h ago
$49.3K
50,000 shares
8
Serene-Decision
No@ 98.7%·8h ago
$45.6K
46,155 shares
9
@jsmythyson
Yes@ 24.0%·3d ago
$42.5K
176,903 shares
10
Evil-Pigsty
Yes@ 73.0%·11h ago
$37.2K
51,000 shares
11
@wangtoutou
Yes@ 73.0%·5h ago
$32.5K
44,555 shares
12
@foodenjoyer
Yes@ 71.0%·22h ago
$30.6K
43,120 shares
13
Serene-Decision
No@ 98.4%·1d ago
$29.5K
29,964 shares
14
Evil-Pigsty
Yes@ 72.0%·16h ago
$28.8K
40,000 shares
15
@plumbis
No@ 98.6%·1d ago
$27.2K
27,612 shares
16
@elmcap2
No@ 98.7%·1d ago
$24.7K
25,000 shares
17
@elmcap2
No@ 98.9%·1d ago
$24.7K
24,928 shares
18
@texture
No@ 98.6%·4h ago
$24.2K
24,500 shares
19
@wangtoutou
Yes@ 72.0%·1d ago
$21.6K
29,970 shares
20
@ImJustKen
No@ 70.0%·1d ago
$21.1K
30,156 shares
21
@ScottyNooo
Yes@ 71.0%·1d ago
$21.1K
29,660 shares
22
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
No@ 98.6%·19h ago
$20.7K
21,000 shares
23
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
No@ 98.6%·8h ago
$20.6K
20,906 shares
24
Serene-Decision
No@ 98.4%·1d ago
$19.7K
20,036 shares
25
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
No@ 98.5%·1d ago
$19.7K
20,000 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@bapexx888
Yes@ 1.2%·1h ago
$2
@ox51aa6B8fbD20AED3C4037056C0f3f841d7ADB50E
Yes@ 72.0%·1h ago
$35
@purplegatto
No@ 29.0%·1h ago
$735
@Ox648bAD7080caA1a9931B2774B20e87ECa75900ba
No@ 72.0%·1h ago
$1
@chupaps
No@ 72.0%·1h ago
$24
@sleepy-panda
Yes@ 0.3%·1h ago
$9
@chupaps
No@ 73.0%·1h ago
$24
@Ox648bAD7080caA1a9931B2774B20e87ECa75900ba
No@ 73.0%·1h ago
$4
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
Yes@ 28.0%·1h ago
$1.1K
@Elias.Thornwell
Yes@ 0.3%·1h ago
$2
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
Yes@ 28.0%·1h ago
$286
@TheReturnOfDarthMaul
Yes@ 28.0%·1h ago
$286
@dots..
Yes@ 0.3%·1h ago
$0
@dots..
Yes@ 0.3%·1h ago
$0
@grindpaper
Yes@ 1.3%·2h ago
$5
@grindpaper
Yes@ 0.3%·2h ago
$5
@duqiudi1
No@ 99.0%·2h ago
$127
@duqiudi1
No@ 98.8%·2h ago
$371
@NotTheSharpestTool
Yes@ 0.4%·2h ago
$8
@katbot
Yes@ 72.0%·2h ago
$100
0x4abb…cc5c
No@ 98.7%·2h ago
$12
0x56c2…3fe8
No@ 98.7%·2h ago
$10
0x2893…600f
No@ 98.7%·2h ago
$12
0x12b9…c360
No@ 98.7%·2h ago
$10
0x4abb…cc5c
No@ 98.8%·2h ago
$12

About this market

Fed Decision in September? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the fomc category, resolving on Sep 16, 2026. Current odds put YES at 0.3% and NO at 99.8%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 50 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $791.4K on a total market volume of $41.91M. Last 24-hour volume: $3.05M.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →