Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

ActiveIran3 outcomesEnds Nov 4, 2026

No Hormuz Agreement leads at 97.0%, ahead of Hormuz Agreement; D Senate (1.8%) and Hormuz Agreement; R Senate (1.5%).

24h volume: $46.1K
Total volume: $1.8M
Whales: 19
Fresh wallets: 1

Trade on Polymarket ↗

Outcome · 3Chance24hTrade on Polymarket

1No Hormuz Agreement$668.9K vol97.0%+0.9Buy Yes 97.0¢Buy No 3.0¢

2Hormuz Agreement; D Senate$389.9K vol1.8%−0.1Buy Yes 1.8¢Buy No 98.3¢

3Hormuz Agreement; R Senate$740.2K vol1.5%−0.3Buy Yes 1.5¢Buy No 98.5¢

Click a row to chart it. Each outcome is its own market, so chances need not sum to 100%. 24h change in percentage points.

Whales & fresh walletsConnecting

Market vol · 5m-

All trades · 5m-

Buy pressure-

@fgydusggbWhale7h ago

$5,335 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.97
Shares: 5,500
Profit if right: $165

@ZhouCDWhale1d ago

$7,335 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; D Senate

Bought at: $0.98
Shares: 7,500
Profit if right: $165

@ZhouCDWhale1d ago

$7,148 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 7,500
Profit if right: $353

@timetowanderWhale2d ago

$5,997 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 6,499
Profit if right: $502

@classifiedWhale2d ago

$15,738 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 17,163
Profit if right: $1,425

@V1nch0uWhale2d ago

$15,147 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 16,543
Profit if right: $1,396

@poli.monacoWhale2d ago

$8,568 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 9,415
Profit if right: $847

@ColinHuangWhale2d ago

$16,142 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.91
Shares: 17,792
Profit if right: $1,649

@V1nch0uWhale2d ago

$5,825 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 6,515
Profit if right: $691

@classifiedWhale3d ago

$12,399 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 13,963
Profit if right: $1,564

@classifiedWhale3d ago

$5,715 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 6,495
Profit if right: $781

@ZhouCDWhale3d ago

$6,623 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 7,500
Profit if right: $878

@timetowanderWhale3d ago

$7,074 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $926

@classifiedWhale3d ago

$7,819 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 8,248
Profit if right: $429

@DragontreeWhale3d ago

$9,480 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $520

@MisTKyWhale4d ago

$6,496 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 7,342
Profit if right: $846

@classifiedWhale4d ago

$9,464 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 9,975
Profit if right: $511

@MisTKyWhale4d ago

$8,860 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,140

@Tenebrus7Whale4d ago

$8,860 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $1,140

@BunCaChamWhale4d ago

$9,171 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 9,643
Profit if right: $473

@AnjunWhale4d ago

$10,555 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 11,111
Profit if right: $556

@BunCaChamWhale4d ago

$10,097 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 10,618
Profit if right: $520

@LolakisWhale4d ago

$7,428 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 7,800
Profit if right: $372

@timetowanderWhale4d ago

$9,540 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $460

@classifiedWhale4d ago

$5,324 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $676

@MisTKyWhale4d ago

$33,465 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 35,002
Profit if right: $1,537

@StarryPathWhale4d ago

$10,547 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 11,044
Profit if right: $497

@ZhouCDWhale4d ago

$7,170 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 7,500
Profit if right: $330

@onlywin03Fresh4d ago

$1,815 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 1,900
Profit if right: $86

@V1nch0uWhale4d ago

$5,302 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 5,971
Profit if right: $669

@ArmageddonRewardsBillyWhale4d ago

$8,500 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.89
Shares: 9,550
Profit if right: $1,051

0xe234…304aWhale4d ago

$6,191 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; D Senate

Bought at: $0.94
Shares: 6,600
Profit if right: $409

@classifiedWhale5d ago

$13,472 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 15,309
Profit if right: $1,837

@CarWhale5d ago

$6,844 buying Yes on No Hormuz Agreement

Bought at: $0.88
Shares: 7,777
Profit if right: $933

@classifiedWhale5d ago

$25,641 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; D Senate

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 27,870
Profit if right: $2,230

@classifiedWhale5d ago

$10,090 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 10,599
Profit if right: $509

@classifiedWhale5d ago

$6,657 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.95
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $343

@BunCaChamWhale5d ago

$14,415 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 15,000
Profit if right: $585

@whigWhale5d ago

$5,790 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $210

@8624Whale5d ago

$7,696 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 8,000
Profit if right: $304

@timetowanderWhale5d ago

$5,766 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 6,000
Profit if right: $234

@ZhouCDWhale5d ago

$6,741 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; R Senate

Bought at: $0.96
Shares: 7,000
Profit if right: $259

@BunCaChamWhale5d ago

$9,200 buying No on Hormuz Agreement; D Senate

Bought at: $0.92
Shares: 10,000
Profit if right: $800

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