What are the current odds for "Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?"?

YES is currently trading at 9.0% on Polymarket. NO is at 91.0%. 23 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Dec 31, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $20.88M. Last 24h: $59.1K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $21.0K by pako entered at 90%. 2 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActiveIsraelResolves Dec 31, 2026

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicati…

YES

9.0%

91.0%

Volume

$20.88M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

2 tracked

1
@pako
No@ 90.0%·22h ago
$21.0K
23,370 shares
2
@Vvv
No@ 91.0%·2d ago
$20.0K
22,000 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

23 prints

@MightyStaker9698
No@ 91.0%·6h ago
$1
@ELEZIOR-TV
Yes@ 10.0%·6h ago
$500
@Sibarit87
No@ 90.0%·6h ago
$0
0xb8a3…9b12
Yes@ 9.0%·6h ago
$6
@Sibarit87
No@ 90.0%·6h ago
$1
@Sophiakong
No@ 91.0%·6h ago
$273
@Roger1410
Yes@ 10.0%·6h ago
$100
@KDeeze
No@ 90.0%·6h ago
$15
@banmaa
No@ 90.0%·7h ago
$21
@vaibhavvg
Yes@ 10.0%·7h ago
$10
Terrific-Subscription
Yes@ 10.0%·7h ago
$6
@Sibarit87
No@ 90.0%·8h ago
$0
@BingBing888
Yes@ 9.0%·8h ago
$5
@Sibarit87
No@ 90.0%·9h ago
$0
@Sibarit87
No@ 90.0%·9h ago
$0
@Sibarit87
No@ 90.0%·9h ago
$1
@Hu81
Yes@ 9.0%·9h ago
$23
@Sibarit87
No@ 90.0%·10h ago
$2
@Sibarit87
No@ 90.0%·10h ago
$0
@Jhgfdsa-025
No@ 91.0%·11h ago
$11
@Jhgfdsa-025
No@ 90.0%·11h ago
$11
@TheGreatDawn
Yes@ 9.0%·11h ago
$45
@Sibarit87
No@ 90.0%·11h ago
$0

About this market

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Israel category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 9.0% and NO at 91.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 2 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $21.0K on a total market volume of $20.88M. Last 24-hour volume: $59.1K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →