What are the current odds for "Iran leadership change by...?"?

YES is currently trading at 0.0% on Polymarket. NO is at 100.0%. 25 recent prints tracked.

When does this market resolve?

This Polymarket market resolves on Dec 31, 2026.

What is the total trading volume for this market?

Total trading volume on Polymarket: $18.04M. Last 24h: $94.2K.

Who are the biggest traders on this market?

The largest tracked bet is $11.7K by Valen9 entered at 99%. 5 large trades tracked in the last 7 days.

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ActiveMojtabaResolves Dec 31, 2026

Iran leadership change by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longe…

YES

0.0%

100.0%

Volume

$18.04M

Trade on Polymarket→

Stored · 7 days

Largest trades

5 tracked

1
@Valen9
No@ 99.2%·2d ago
$11.7K
11,748 shares
2
@StudentMoney
No@ 99.3%·2d ago
$9.9K
10,000 shares
3
@anoin123
No@ 99.7%·5h ago
$9.6K
9,627 shares
4
@StudentMoney
No@ 99.3%·2d ago
$6.9K
6,906 shares
5
@StudentMoney
No@ 99.8%·8h ago
$6.4K
6,434 shares

Recent · live

Latest market flow

25 prints

@Mellifluous
No@ 99.8%·2h ago
$43
Scornful-Attention
Yes@ 0.3%·3h ago
$1
@Frontrunners
Yes@ 0.2%·4h ago
$3
@Frontrunners
Yes@ 15.0%·4h ago
$209
@BigRabbit
Yes@ 0.3%·5h ago
$30
0x5449…992b
Yes@ 0.3%·6h ago
$2
@JohnsonJohnson
Yes@ 0.3%·6h ago
$2
@Chico94
Yes@ 0.2%·8h ago
$13
Warlike-Start
No@ 84.0%·8h ago
$11
@cripes3
No@ 99.8%·8h ago
$2.5K
@StudentMoney
No@ 99.8%·9h ago
$1.1K
@Greed.
No@ 99.7%·9h ago
$21
@Elias.Thornwell
No@ 99.8%·9h ago
$20
@kaese
Yes@ 0.3%·10h ago
$1
Pushy-Hexagon
Yes@ 0.3%·10h ago
$2
@Jhgfdsa-025
No@ 85.0%·10h ago
$5
@Jhgfdsa-025
No@ 84.0%·11h ago
$5
@Jhgfdsa-025
No@ 85.0%·11h ago
$5
@Jhgfdsa-025
No@ 84.0%·11h ago
$5
@SirHarryOakes
No@ 99.7%·12h ago
$786
@laidaodao
No@ 99.7%·15h ago
$35
@laidaodao
No@ 99.8%·16h ago
$20
@laidaodao
No@ 99.8%·16h ago
$100
@55555885oo
No@ 99.7%·16h ago
$23
@55555885oo
No@ 99.8%·16h ago
$23

About this market

Iran leadership change by...? is a live Polymarket prediction market in the Mojtaba category, resolving on Dec 31, 2026. Current odds put YES at 0.0% and NO at 100.0%.

PolyInsider tracks every trade on this market in real time. In the last 7 days, 5 large bets have been stored, with the biggest at $11.7K on a total market volume of $18.04M. Last 24-hour volume: $94.2K.

Trade directly on Polymarket via the link at the top — every click through PolyInsider supports the data infrastructure powering this site. Open the live order book on Polymarket →